{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6ddced76-04e9-48d3-9957-0b4d327b138b", "symbol": "PALREDTEC", "name": "Palred Technologies Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 29.799, "architecture_energy": 30.43, "architecture_maturity": 71.373, "architecture_confidence": 95.238, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.16, "rotation_up": 21.87, "upward_expansion": 57.05, "deceleration": 91.16, "rotation_down": 38.99, "downward_expansion": 23.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 47.433334, 50.139092, 47.95781, 44.673076 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 48.900002, "trend_reference": 41.452334, "distance_from_trend": 0.179668, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 88.442308, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.447097, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.588322, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.295707, "excess_performance": 0.339417, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.179668, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054346, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.447097, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.152903, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.095883, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.23096, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.295707, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.398796, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11226, "relative_activity": 0.670768, "balance": 3.398796, "dry_up": 0.570639, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.106686, "annualized_volatility": 0.65705, "from_high_reference": -0.335598, "from_low_reference": 0.781421 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.452334, "fair_value_reference": 88.442308, "structural_low": 27.450001, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.151062, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.151759, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.079159, "worst_return": -0.262788, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.289872, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.319065, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.021474, "worst_return": -0.298201, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.361767, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.441426, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.961263, "worst_return": -0.483469, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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42.828048, 41.030215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 58.900002, "volume": 5121, "typical_volume": 25716.0, "trend": 40.431334, "fair_value": 91.833398, "relative_strength": 31.606654, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.215579, "energy": 91.524793, "activity_lines": [ 55.446667, 51.061273, 44.692238, 42.262452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 54.790001, "volume": 807, "typical_volume": 24051.1, "trend": 40.947667, "fair_value": 91.192628, "relative_strength": 22.544182, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.495349, "energy": 86.527885, "activity_lines": [ 55.991334, 52.387637, 46.089048, 43.188817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 49.540001, "volume": 3816, "typical_volume": 22816.4, "trend": 41.276334, "fair_value": 90.573334, "relative_strength": 10.853722, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.911931, "energy": 75.578912, "activity_lines": [ 54.364668, 52.491455, 46.913048, 43.743162 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 45.509998, "volume": 1290, "typical_volume": 21147.95, "trend": 41.485, "fair_value": 89.93718, "relative_strength": 4.802107, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.622351, "energy": 43.476879, "activity_lines": [ 51.058667, 51.662546, 47.272333, 44.016301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 44.150002, "volume": 21869, "typical_volume": 20695.35, "trend": 41.385, "fair_value": 89.12468, "relative_strength": -0.492922, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.669732, "energy": 28.727898, "activity_lines": [ 47.992667, 50.468546, 47.425191, 44.188237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.900002, "volume": 11226, "typical_volume": 16736.05, "trend": 41.452334, "fair_value": 88.442308, "relative_strength": 9.588322, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.798978, "energy": 30.429546, "activity_lines": [ 47.433334, 50.139092, 47.95781, 44.673076 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }