{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6de40893-4743-4db4-8867-9d227345d9f7", "symbol": "688543", "name": "Jiangxi Guoke Defence Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.928, "architecture_energy": 60.813, "architecture_maturity": 51.064, "architecture_confidence": 92.577, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.54, "rotation_up": 25.15, "upward_expansion": 11.31, "deceleration": 57.46, "rotation_down": 51.28, "downward_expansion": 79.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.498666, 38.18, 41.759934, 45.130275 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 38.369999, "trend_reference": 49.354903, "distance_from_trend": -0.22257, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 36.270789, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.057876, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.4978, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.299509, "excess_performance": -0.256305, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.22257, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039367, "read": "Falling" }, { 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41.356039, 45.987906, 48.604034 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 34.0, "volume": 30507042, "typical_volume": 29184503.1, "trend": 50.407586, "fair_value": 36.115026, "relative_strength": -24.371673, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.12742, "energy": 79.568193, "activity_lines": [ 37.879333, 39.633233, 44.497676, 47.518563 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.040001, "volume": 38556623, "typical_volume": 26010084.6, "trend": 50.142962, "fair_value": 36.156517, "relative_strength": -18.317532, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.088314, "energy": 64.484357, "activity_lines": [ 37.34, 38.816364, 43.407313, 46.656138 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.889999, "volume": 37817497, "typical_volume": 25530358.7, "trend": 49.76792, "fair_value": 36.212254, "relative_strength": -16.545007, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.696803, "energy": 63.148169, "activity_lines": [ 37.328667, 38.367818, 42.519199, 45.865625 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.369999, "volume": 29153439, "typical_volume": 25503341.75, "trend": 49.354903, "fair_value": 36.270789, "relative_strength": -17.4978, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.928499, "energy": 60.812522, "activity_lines": [ 37.498666, 38.18, 41.759934, 45.130275 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }