{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6e0d3501-964f-4cad-b976-929793111c29", "symbol": "300843", "name": "Shenglan Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.048, "architecture_energy": 24.671, "architecture_maturity": 77.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.559, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.77, "rotation_up": 26.38, "upward_expansion": 58.49, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 30.82, "downward_expansion": 19.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 112.881333, 119.375274, 109.446092, 97.775633 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 117.970001, "trend_reference": 82.872767, "distance_from_trend": 0.423507, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 40.187371, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.935499, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 68.452489, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.344975, "excess_performance": 1.337575, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.423507, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.395159, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.935499, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.35385, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.684525, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.236382, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.344975, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.677012, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42772540, "relative_activity": 1.300762, "balance": 1.677012, "dry_up": 1.307226, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.207097, "annualized_volatility": 0.835439, "from_high_reference": -0.269762, "from_low_reference": 2.816038 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 82.872767, "fair_value_reference": 40.187371, "structural_low": 47.420584, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.087653, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.074602, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.144105, "worst_return": -0.189272, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.027043, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.092971, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.590189, "worst_return": -0.102698, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.132966, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.196977, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.598835, "worst_return": 0.109925, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.087495, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.106759, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.018537, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.791205, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.253153, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": 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50.968488, "activity_lines": [ 123.854668, 121.163768, 106.154827, 93.86274 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 102.309998, "volume": 48489220, "typical_volume": 32095982.55, "trend": 80.657312, "fair_value": 39.555021, "relative_strength": 57.319779, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.492018, "energy": 27.236792, "activity_lines": [ 114.589334, 118.878728, 107.159961, 95.368363 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 117.970001, "volume": 42772540, "typical_volume": 32882678.4, "trend": 82.872767, "fair_value": 40.187371, "relative_strength": 68.452489, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.048408, "energy": 24.670944, "activity_lines": [ 112.881333, 119.375274, 109.446092, 97.775633 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }