{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6e15fe56-66cd-4889-9967-258c2d8f2ec6", "symbol": "GLXG", "name": "Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.446, "architecture_energy": 37.193, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 88.727, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.04, "rotation_up": 16.77, "upward_expansion": 5.84, "deceleration": 44.22, "rotation_down": 50.38, "downward_expansion": 76.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.041353, 1.154969, 1.214669, 1.402636 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.12, "trend_reference": 1.630897, "distance_from_trend": -0.313261, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.394932, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.916386, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -62.947863, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.377778, "excess_performance": -0.565231, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.313261, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.226683, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.916386, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013982, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.629479, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.141215, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.377778, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 11.903298, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5349879, "relative_activity": 0.500993, "balance": 11.903298, "dry_up": 0.454735, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.659477, "annualized_volatility": 1.349371, "from_high_reference": -0.852437, "from_low_reference": 0.555556 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.630897, "fair_value_reference": 13.394932, "structural_low": 0.72, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.091152, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.089586, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.135135, "worst_return": 0.04717, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.056604, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.038892, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.056604, "worst_return": 0.056604, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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1.311469, 1.417232, 1.582692 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.05, "volume": 13035333, "typical_volume": 10371465.35, "trend": 1.71501, "fair_value": 13.778728, "relative_strength": -68.011849, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.403534, "energy": 23.402667, "activity_lines": [ 1.276667, 1.281553, 1.36214, 1.537466 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.8861, "volume": 708926, "typical_volume": 10402208.95, "trend": 1.679213, "fair_value": 13.64717, "relative_strength": -71.396465, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.921805, "energy": 29.109918, "activity_lines": [ 1.122033, 1.222018, 1.297962, 1.483988 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.9505, "volume": 329506, "typical_volume": 10416260.35, "trend": 1.65223, "fair_value": 13.518921, "relative_strength": -68.21877, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.636033, "energy": 36.432785, "activity_lines": [ 1.041793, 1.172544, 1.245698, 1.436974 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.12, "volume": 5349879, "typical_volume": 10678556.75, "trend": 1.630897, "fair_value": 13.394932, "relative_strength": -62.947863, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.446005, "energy": 37.193305, "activity_lines": [ 1.041353, 1.154969, 1.214669, 1.402636 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }