{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6e2ec324-8356-4178-8fff-67bfc4369a5f", "symbol": "KRIDHANINF", "name": "Kridhan Infra Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -74.509, "architecture_energy": 77.241, "architecture_maturity": 23.037, "architecture_confidence": 80.439, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.1, "rotation_up": 8.5, "upward_expansion": 16.37, "deceleration": 37.14, "rotation_down": 81.91, "downward_expansion": 94.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.394667, 2.558909, 2.694143, 2.73643 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 2.29, "trend_reference": 2.909667, "distance_from_trend": -0.212968, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.8975, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.412444, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.384791, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.414322, "excess_performance": -0.370613, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.212968, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.124649, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.412444, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.19282, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.303848, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.139885, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.414322, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.170711, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 258928, "relative_activity": 0.878494, "balance": 0.170711, "dry_up": 0.746482, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.120927, "annualized_volatility": 0.622859, "from_high_reference": -0.520921, "from_low_reference": 0.265193 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.909667, "fair_value_reference": 3.8975, "structural_low": 1.81, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.000692, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.041035, "regime_survival": 0.821429, "best_return": 0.357143, "worst_return": -0.193548, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.025632, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.065461, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.232558, "worst_return": -0.220339, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.12882, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.158859, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.390698, "worst_return": -0.342857, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"blue", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.079518, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.005128, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.061497, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.040767, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.046569, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", 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"typical_volume": 557683.7, "trend": 3.096, "fair_value": 3.895128, "relative_strength": -24.445582, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.290605, "energy": 36.118489, "activity_lines": [ 2.716667, 2.820364, 2.790714, 2.867484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.44, "volume": 176548, "typical_volume": 363809.0, "trend": 3.036, "fair_value": 3.897628, "relative_strength": -24.901991, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.265006, "energy": 58.409222, "activity_lines": [ 2.604667, 2.738, 2.764524, 2.825161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.34, "volume": 168000, "typical_volume": 337180.8, "trend": 2.969333, "fair_value": 3.897564, "relative_strength": -29.071565, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.276479, "energy": 71.077496, "activity_lines": [ 2.487333, 2.645273, 2.730714, 2.780258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.29, "volume": 258928, "typical_volume": 294740.7, "trend": 2.909667, "fair_value": 3.8975, "relative_strength": -30.384791, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.508739, "energy": 77.241008, "activity_lines": [ 2.394667, 2.558909, 2.694143, 2.73643 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }