{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6e3042d1-238b-40a1-83af-b061f6f9ed58",
    "symbol": "ESLA",
    "name": "Estrella Immunopharma Inc.",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -73.217,
    "architecture_energy": 83.614,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.513,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.69,
        "rotation_up": 12.2,
        "upward_expansion": 20.21,
        "deceleration": 37.09,
        "rotation_down": 78.21,
        "downward_expansion": 98.21
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.760963,
        0.841525,
        1.00085,
        1.079746
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 0.72255,
    "trend_reference": 1.145248,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.369089,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1.636039,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.558354,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -52.926307,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.50169,
    "excess_performance": -0.689143,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.369089,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.212509,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.558354,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.076799,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.529263,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.328191,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.50169,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.465469,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 170241,
      "relative_activity": 0.516205,
      "balance": 0.465469,
      "dry_up": 0.623918,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.230082,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.066174,
      "from_high_reference": -0.770619,
      "from_low_reference": 0.065551
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.145248,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.636039,
      "structural_low": 0.6781,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": 0.007919,
        "positive_rate": 0.526316,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.473684,
        "median_excess_return": -0.036837,
        "regime_survival": 0.736842,
        "best_return": 1.104762,
        "worst_return": -0.315217,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.077273,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.127862,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 1.051102,
        "worst_return": -0.839924,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.223422,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.115383,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.859144,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 1.070006,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.80609,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.819448,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "return": -0.048387,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 338048.65,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 59.77127,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 359138,
        "typical_volume": 345371.8,
        "trend": 1.20904,
        "fair_value": 1.797858,
        "relative_strength": -43.818524,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.697752,
        "energy": 63.158623,
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          0.918047,
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          1.125875,
          1.166047
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.78,
        "volume": 203514,
        "typical_volume": 347466.25,
        "trend": 1.183707,
        "fair_value": 1.738371,
        "relative_strength": -46.760114,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.047245,
        "energy": 71.665537,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.8659,
          0.932718,
          1.08634,
          1.138367
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.7137,
        "volume": 90163,
        "typical_volume": 340149.9,
        "trend": 1.161163,
        "fair_value": 1.683587,
        "relative_strength": -51.328013,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -77.44058,
        "energy": 80.362275,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.802987,
          0.88226,
          1.041873,
          1.108044
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.72255,
        "volume": 170241,
        "typical_volume": 329793.2,
        "trend": 1.145248,
        "fair_value": 1.636039,
        "relative_strength": -52.926307,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.217465,
        "energy": 83.614278,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.760963,
          0.841525,
          1.00085,
          1.079746
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}