{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6e312cfc-9b83-41db-a56c-045084d2588d", "symbol": "MTO", "name": "MotorCycle Holdings Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 48.556, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 43.549, "architecture_energy": 28.055, "architecture_maturity": 25.934, "architecture_confidence": 45.581, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.17, "rotation_up": 50.09, "upward_expansion": 46.46, "deceleration": 41.38, "rotation_down": 24.0, "downward_expansion": 9.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.556333, 2.528727, 2.449381, 2.431489 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.73, "trend_reference": 2.455853, "distance_from_trend": 0.11163, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.074855, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.315754, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.745315, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.117259, "excess_performance": 0.053553, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.11163, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09242, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.315754, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.104366, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.077453, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.091154, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.117259, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.861252, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 286457, "relative_activity": 1.069657, "balance": 0.861252, "dry_up": 0.669998, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072133, "annualized_volatility": 0.399251, "from_high_reference": -0.290541, "from_low_reference": 0.293839 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.455853, "fair_value_reference": 2.074855, "structural_low": 2.11, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.00813, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.029155, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.052786, "worst_return": -0.088146, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.207524, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.215987, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.014734, "worst_return": -0.308052, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.150337, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.165527, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.069827, "worst_return": -0.162712, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.209666, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.253851, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.209666, "worst_return": -0.209666, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-02-23", "end": "2024-02-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-03-01", "end": "2024-08-30", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.191195, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.02719, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.015151, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.13497, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.101604, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.181548, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.735758, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.178125, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.154472, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.045593, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.066879, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.005531, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.114286, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 1.425004, "volume": 305956, "typical_volume": 320908.8, "trend": 1.403408, "fair_value": 1.797872, "relative_strength": -11.178058, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 23.701668, "energy": 39.120789, "activity_lines": [ 1.45847, 1.38592, 1.344935, 1.355927 ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 1.39869, "volume": 66576, "typical_volume": 254377.55, "trend": 1.392189, "fair_value": 1.798724, "relative_strength": -11.961134, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 22.035984, "energy": 43.533899, "activity_lines": [ 1.445111, 1.398653, 1.349532, 1.355623 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 1.789352, "volume": 840732, "typical_volume": 285204.2, "trend": 1.39245, "fair_value": 1.802475, "relative_strength": 10.358684, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 61.53164, "energy": 67.857701, "activity_lines": [ 1.556709, 1.479509, 1.391403, 1.381246 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 1.756966, "volume": 446288, "typical_volume": 295572.3, "trend": 1.394974, "fair_value": 1.805876, "relative_strength": 10.240122, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.915211, "energy": 81.001565, "activity_lines": [ 1.633222, 1.543436, 1.428551, 1.404763 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 1.864038, "volume": 354885, "typical_volume": 305633.75, "trend": 1.404665, "fair_value": 1.810241, "relative_strength": 15.029901, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.450757, "energy": 90.936127, "activity_lines": [ 1.729233, 1.616231, 1.474596, 1.435025 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-22", "close": 1.821285, "volume": 392730, "typical_volume": 319179.45, "trend": 1.408819, "fair_value": 1.813712, "relative_strength": 16.078949, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.127634, "energy": 89.002821, "activity_lines": [ 1.787391, 1.669811, 1.514709, 1.461904 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 1.795632, "volume": 446267, "typical_volume": 332168.75, "trend": 1.421757, "fair_value": 1.816783, "relative_strength": 15.201672, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.027559, "energy": 85.520998, "activity_lines": [ 1.81058, 1.708577, 1.550607, 1.48686 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 1.838386, "volume": 151416, "typical_volume": 321711.65, "trend": 1.439848, "fair_value": 1.818099, "relative_strength": 19.833111, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.66212, "energy": 80.138847, "activity_lines": [ 1.821557, 1.746464, 1.588524, 1.513739 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 1.932443, "volume": 204133, "typical_volume": 310552.6, "trend": 1.461081, "fair_value": 1.819078, "relative_strength": 24.34383, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.878466, "energy": 71.043261, "activity_lines": [ 1.860618, 1.793937, 1.632735, 1.545519 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-20", "close": 1.804183, "volume": 342586, "typical_volume": 311434.4, "trend": 1.478443, "fair_value": 1.818893, "relative_strength": 18.878792, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.292288, "energy": 56.470922, "activity_lines": [ 1.845226, 1.810482, 1.661525, 1.567655 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-27", "close": 1.705851, "volume": 219728, "typical_volume": 306823.65, "trend": 1.490504, "fair_value": 1.819103, "relative_strength": 13.967463, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.18191, "energy": 44.185925, "activity_lines": [ 1.801048, 1.803801, 1.678585, 1.582327 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "close": 1.778531, "volume": 107399, "typical_volume": 300090.3, "trend": 1.502693, "fair_value": 1.820121, "relative_strength": 16.432232, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.639537, "energy": 38.845243, "activity_lines": [ 1.788792, 1.805228, 1.700382, 1.600909 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-10", "close": 1.778531, "volume": 86663, "typical_volume": 289523.2, "trend": 1.513802, "fair_value": 1.821395, "relative_strength": 16.619428, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.257391, "energy": 29.133734, "activity_lines": [ 1.777676, 1.799749, 1.719608, 1.618705 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-17", "close": 1.787082, "volume": 146978, "typical_volume": 277426.15, "trend": 1.523915, "fair_value": 1.823023, "relative_strength": 16.022402, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.326575, "energy": 25.978558, "activity_lines": [ 1.773401, 1.796021, 1.736808, 1.636336 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-24", "close": 1.705851, "volume": 301826, "typical_volume": 264415.65, "trend": 1.531657, "fair_value": 1.822891, "relative_strength": 11.007873, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.791095, "energy": 22.898486, "activity_lines": [ 1.751739, 1.776977, 1.743353, 1.648074 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-01", "close": 1.76143, "volume": 179693, "typical_volume": 264398.1, "trend": 1.542062, "fair_value": 1.824227, "relative_strength": 14.155197, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.701875, "energy": 23.123591, "activity_lines": [ 1.75516, 1.770913, 1.752948, 1.662898 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-08", "close": 1.812734, "volume": 271278, "typical_volume": 273537.8, "trend": 1.55701, "fair_value": 1.825934, "relative_strength": 15.47507, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.695257, "energy": 27.146218, "activity_lines": [ 1.771976, 1.775267, 1.765055, 1.680361 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-15", "close": 2.094905, "volume": 398283, "typical_volume": 281336.6, "trend": 1.584198, "fair_value": 1.828424, "relative_strength": 28.836487, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.369038, "energy": 60.230471, "activity_lines": [ 1.880569, 1.830612, 1.801689, 1.715063 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-22", "close": 1.590418, "volume": 2220339, "typical_volume": 380609.2, "trend": 1.595245, "fair_value": 1.827723, "relative_strength": -2.448607, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.432112, "energy": 21.983864, "activity_lines": [ 1.799908, 1.78957, 1.787086, 1.715465 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-29", "close": 1.710126, "volume": 251915, "typical_volume": 386783.55, "trend": 1.608662, "fair_value": 1.827363, "relative_strength": 3.997924, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.731866, "energy": 15.148181, "activity_lines": [ 1.772261, 1.77651, 1.78352, 1.722876 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-05", "close": 1.735778, "volume": 322771, "typical_volume": 387624.3, "trend": 1.624959, "fair_value": 1.827551, "relative_strength": 7.221969, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.429466, "energy": 11.23957, "activity_lines": [ 1.752879, 1.769825, 1.781444, 1.731077 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 1.684475, "volume": 376857, "typical_volume": 403138.35, "trend": 1.639815, "fair_value": 1.827069, "relative_strength": 4.086429, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.06269, "energy": 14.938175, "activity_lines": [ 1.718107, 1.753268, 1.773003, 1.734917 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 1.633171, "volume": 269812, "typical_volume": 374592.35, "trend": 1.654851, "fair_value": 1.826855, "relative_strength": 2.10924, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.914737, "energy": 14.190367, "activity_lines": [ 1.674784, 1.729093, 1.758314, 1.734489 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 1.581867, "volume": 382445, "typical_volume": 371400.2, "trend": 1.668446, "fair_value": 1.826057, "relative_strength": -2.662377, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.989171, "energy": 35.949834, "activity_lines": [ 1.645142, 1.698233, 1.739484, 1.72978 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 1.667373, "volume": 236106, "typical_volume": 365461.25, "trend": 1.682867, "fair_value": 1.826063, "relative_strength": 0.852893, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.493564, "energy": 35.252614, "activity_lines": [ 1.644572, 1.686651, 1.72963, 1.729711 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-09", "close": 1.667373, "volume": 80746, "typical_volume": 349862.05, "trend": 1.696344, "fair_value": 1.826027, "relative_strength": 1.646588, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.518783, "energy": 31.64142, "activity_lines": [ 1.646852, 1.675768, 1.720713, 1.728711 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-16", "close": 1.658823, "volume": 387758, "typical_volume": 346936.6, "trend": 1.707646, "fair_value": 1.826363, "relative_strength": 0.924863, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.207103, "energy": 19.678275, "activity_lines": [ 1.650842, 1.665041, 1.711714, 1.72629 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-23", "close": 1.573316, "volume": 497055, "typical_volume": 364218.55, "trend": 1.71259, "fair_value": 1.825851, "relative_strength": -3.86629, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.312246, "energy": 22.961918, "activity_lines": [ 1.62804, 1.641566, 1.695224, 1.717624 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-01", "close": 1.402304, "volume": 663023, "typical_volume": 387163.05, "trend": 1.708865, "fair_value": 1.824585, "relative_strength": -15.351217, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.551478, "energy": 58.93197, "activity_lines": [ 1.552225, 1.596481, 1.663709, 1.697606 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-08", "close": 1.282595, "volume": 809401, "typical_volume": 410503.8, "trend": 1.701284, "fair_value": 1.821783, "relative_strength": -23.454649, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.762858, "energy": 77.23102, "activity_lines": [ 1.448477, 1.533051, 1.623317, 1.670104 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 1.308681, "volume": 1128357, "typical_volume": 455935.25, "trend": 1.697406, "fair_value": 1.818704, "relative_strength": -19.9935, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.615671, "energy": 83.769759, "activity_lines": [ 1.379077, 1.482137, 1.587894, 1.644775 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 1.352304, "volume": 74830, "typical_volume": 454306.8, "trend": 1.69586, "fair_value": 1.816259, "relative_strength": -18.316499, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.59581, "energy": 87.34612, "activity_lines": [ 1.34813, 1.44692, 1.558516, 1.62251 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 1.356666, "volume": 112805, "typical_volume": 455613.9, "trend": 1.681437, "fair_value": 1.81411, "relative_strength": -19.251022, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.575065, "energy": 87.148334, "activity_lines": [ 1.339072, 1.418535, 1.531584, 1.600627 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 1.378478, "volume": 149078, "typical_volume": 455718.9, "trend": 1.668821, "fair_value": 1.812011, "relative_strength": -16.509468, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.138478, "energy": 83.658681, "activity_lines": [ 1.351728, 1.399144, 1.508738, 1.581081 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 1.334855, "volume": 132324, "typical_volume": 447243.8, "trend": 1.651182, "fair_value": 1.809099, "relative_strength": -19.122713, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.326358, "energy": 77.822431, "activity_lines": [ 1.351432, 1.375519, 1.483682, 1.559535 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 1.295595, "volume": 210260, "typical_volume": 448772.15, "trend": 1.633659, "fair_value": 1.805892, "relative_strength": -18.981639, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.770124, "energy": 64.059367, "activity_lines": [ 1.334564, 1.350802, 1.456655, 1.536594 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 1.313044, "volume": 278667, "typical_volume": 449141.6, "trend": 1.617572, "fair_value": 1.801907, "relative_strength": -17.77202, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.347165, "energy": 59.744075, "activity_lines": [ 1.324386, 1.336017, 1.433508, 1.515909 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 1.282508, "volume": 1994621, "typical_volume": 528958.5, "trend": 1.599043, "fair_value": 1.797592, "relative_strength": -20.005222, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.658426, "energy": 62.806272, "activity_lines": [ 1.306646, 1.321967, 1.409831, 1.494292 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 1.256334, "volume": 164358, "typical_volume": 426159.45, "trend": 1.576506, "fair_value": 1.793066, "relative_strength": -22.668197, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.390562, "energy": 64.266488, "activity_lines": [ 1.285125, 1.308445, 1.387531, 1.472182 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 1.208349, "volume": 175470, "typical_volume": 422337.2, "trend": 1.556645, "fair_value": 1.788054, "relative_strength": -26.101271, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.20537, "energy": 66.827773, "activity_lines": [ 1.255753, 1.288853, 1.362252, 1.44843 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 1.195262, "volume": 108958, "typical_volume": 411646.55, "trend": 1.539625, "fair_value": 1.782381, "relative_strength": -25.935606, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.7529, "energy": 78.373111, "activity_lines": [ 1.230451, 1.268231, 1.338115, 1.425115 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 1.212712, "volume": 102594, "typical_volume": 397933.4, "trend": 1.520765, "fair_value": 1.776819, "relative_strength": -24.423822, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.530776, "energy": 85.516901, "activity_lines": [ 1.217655, 1.252844, 1.318215, 1.404023 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 1.086206, "volume": 355955, "typical_volume": 402240.55, "trend": 1.497687, "fair_value": 1.771247, "relative_strength": -33.444504, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -92.145346, "energy": 95.357674, "activity_lines": [ 1.16938, 1.216995, 1.288512, 1.375987 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 1.038221, "volume": 269943, "typical_volume": 396615.45, "trend": 1.472725, "fair_value": 1.765411, "relative_strength": -35.047974, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -92.000754, "energy": 96.244806, "activity_lines": [ 1.118196, 1.177338, 1.256844, 1.346344 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 1.016409, "volume": 318520, "typical_volume": 400736.15, "trend": 1.449744, "fair_value": 1.759169, "relative_strength": -36.785079, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.862333, "energy": 95.090623, "activity_lines": [ 1.074282, 1.139901, 1.225688, 1.316905 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 0.872454, "volume": 1171430, "typical_volume": 455270.35, "trend": 1.420111, "fair_value": 1.752493, "relative_strength": -45.280692, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -95.46249, "energy": 97.173386, "activity_lines": [ 0.99518, 1.082081, 1.183922, 1.27966 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 1.099293, "volume": 322629, "typical_volume": 452013.9, "trend": 1.39633, "fair_value": 1.747627, "relative_strength": -31.312696, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.719327, "energy": 67.241021, "activity_lines": [ 1.01321, 1.073198, 1.167544, 1.258962 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 1.090568, "volume": 241357, "typical_volume": 439229.0, "trend": 1.362852, "fair_value": 1.742438, "relative_strength": -32.803818, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.084018, "energy": 63.019806, "activity_lines": [ 1.035894, 1.066615, 1.153, 1.239236 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 1.116742, "volume": 280879, "typical_volume": 420121.8, "trend": 1.347063, "fair_value": 1.737772, "relative_strength": -31.034791, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.30033, "energy": 50.719407, "activity_lines": [ 1.067012, 1.068281, 1.143248, 1.223358 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 1.103655, "volume": 219898, "typical_volume": 390646.65, "trend": 1.326847, "fair_value": 1.732623, "relative_strength": -31.063335, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.829045, "energy": 30.418078, "activity_lines": [ 1.088532, 1.070105, 1.133609, 1.207654 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 1.138553, "volume": 127754, "typical_volume": 340616.5, "trend": 1.30694, "fair_value": 1.72703, "relative_strength": -28.649501, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.503593, "energy": 23.680457, "activity_lines": [ 1.115869, 1.080178, 1.128146, 1.195506 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 1.025134, "volume": 212723, "typical_volume": 347511.15, "trend": 1.284962, "fair_value": 1.719866, "relative_strength": -33.922642, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.030508, "energy": 29.173097, "activity_lines": [ 1.08766, 1.07066, 1.112691, 1.177325 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 1.099293, "volume": 169360, "typical_volume": 350338.9, "trend": 1.267166, "fair_value": 1.713711, "relative_strength": -30.449739, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.952243, "energy": 24.482777, "activity_lines": [ 1.089114, 1.078037, 1.105857, 1.165346 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 1.068757, "volume": 136038, "typical_volume": 349686.9, "trend": 1.250062, "fair_value": 1.706515, "relative_strength": -32.41118, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.614107, "energy": 26.318704, "activity_lines": [ 1.079808, 1.079623, 1.09734, 1.152546 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 1.13419, "volume": 158232, "typical_volume": 350982.3, "trend": 1.232289, "fair_value": 1.699383, "relative_strength": -28.134764, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.57845, "energy": 22.689657, "activity_lines": [ 1.095512, 1.092551, 1.09653, 1.14507 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 1.443912, "volume": 3965894, "typical_volume": 538764.0, "trend": 1.22484, "fair_value": 1.693914, "relative_strength": -7.014917, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 18.997205, "energy": 24.117206, "activity_lines": [ 1.212421, 1.159651, 1.126172, 1.158723 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 1.474448, "volume": 224247, "typical_volume": 536043.0, "trend": 1.218695, "fair_value": 1.689146, "relative_strength": -5.367015, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 43.283879, "energy": 61.830104, "activity_lines": [ 1.319151, 1.221912, 1.158017, 1.174827 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 1.537768, "volume": 478162, "typical_volume": 460220.05, "trend": 1.21751, "fair_value": 1.685287, "relative_strength": -1.931059, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.821953, "energy": 73.95176, "activity_lines": [ 1.417034, 1.288865, 1.195124, 1.195412 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 1.574165, "volume": 188817, "typical_volume": 461443.0, "trend": 1.223238, "fair_value": 1.681617, "relative_strength": 0.998382, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 51.977397, "energy": 82.245118, "activity_lines": [ 1.497817, 1.354305, 1.234481, 1.218422 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 1.483172, "volume": 199833, "typical_volume": 462661.15, "trend": 1.229924, "fair_value": 1.677776, "relative_strength": -3.306426, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.621293, "energy": 87.37518, "activity_lines": [ 1.514575, 1.394884, 1.263659, 1.235192 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 1.501371, "volume": 86095, "typical_volume": 461518.0, "trend": 1.236347, "fair_value": 1.673822, "relative_strength": -1.974084, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.223901, "energy": 86.003215, "activity_lines": [ 1.514135, 1.431872, 1.293261, 1.252705 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 1.474073, "volume": 65307, "typical_volume": 459653.65, "trend": 1.240406, "fair_value": 1.668821, "relative_strength": -3.725592, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.97851, "energy": 78.456367, "activity_lines": [ 1.500764, 1.4573, 1.318806, 1.268042 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 1.455875, "volume": 144754, "typical_volume": 449093.6, "trend": 1.243713, "fair_value": 1.663796, "relative_strength": -3.351845, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.200538, "energy": 54.803676, "activity_lines": [ 1.481353, 1.471256, 1.341373, 1.281943 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 1.496821, "volume": 146876, "typical_volume": 442940.25, "trend": 1.247658, "fair_value": 1.658941, "relative_strength": 1.246767, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.046273, "energy": 50.649322, "activity_lines": [ 1.481049, 1.486174, 1.36608, 1.298273 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 1.478623, "volume": 200281, "typical_volume": 437028.3, "trend": 1.25245, "fair_value": 1.653511, "relative_strength": -1.310668, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.373226, "energy": 48.333197, "activity_lines": [ 1.479836, 1.49, 1.386869, 1.313174 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 1.483172, "volume": 181694, "typical_volume": 387541.5, "trend": 1.258703, "fair_value": 1.648478, "relative_strength": -0.096392, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.62944, "energy": 45.839245, "activity_lines": [ 1.480443, 1.488391, 1.405891, 1.328059 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 1.469524, "volume": 140995, "typical_volume": 378459.8, "trend": 1.263919, "fair_value": 1.643677, "relative_strength": -1.586511, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.853429, "energy": 43.250978, "activity_lines": [ 1.477713, 1.483586, 1.420705, 1.34166 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 1.683355, "volume": 622486, "typical_volume": 397516.25, "trend": 1.27728, "fair_value": 1.64034, "relative_strength": 12.770381, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.290211, "energy": 60.987423, "activity_lines": [ 1.546564, 1.517749, 1.454121, 1.368721 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 1.701553, "volume": 78198, "typical_volume": 387382.2, "trend": 1.292121, "fair_value": 1.637348, "relative_strength": 14.819096, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.813819, "energy": 90.184607, "activity_lines": [ 1.606315, 1.552574, 1.486447, 1.396093 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 1.751599, "volume": 168728, "typical_volume": 384823.7, "trend": 1.310229, "fair_value": 1.634218, "relative_strength": 20.904894, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.398702, "energy": 93.387109, "activity_lines": [ 1.669099, 1.594183, 1.520754, 1.425737 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 1.706103, "volume": 36161, "typical_volume": 380244.05, "trend": 1.327257, "fair_value": 1.630659, "relative_strength": 21.114444, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.22846, "energy": 88.612554, "activity_lines": [ 1.69852, 1.622638, 1.547643, 1.451277 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 1.719752, "volume": 10516, "typical_volume": 370133.7, "trend": 1.344159, "fair_value": 1.626821, "relative_strength": 19.430179, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.981704, "energy": 88.484274, "activity_lines": [ 1.717629, 1.649853, 1.573129, 1.476599 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 1.728851, "volume": 8986, "typical_volume": 362115.0, "trend": 1.36558, "fair_value": 1.623041, "relative_strength": 20.522106, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.614551, "energy": 87.131596, "activity_lines": [ 1.723088, 1.674256, 1.596175, 1.501418 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 1.715202, "volume": 132591, "typical_volume": 361942.65, "trend": 1.388146, "fair_value": 1.618669, "relative_strength": 19.17735, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.54263, "energy": 67.593366, "activity_lines": [ 1.720965, 1.691213, 1.614922, 1.523975 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 1.637859, "volume": 248588, "typical_volume": 366460.45, "trend": 1.408861, "fair_value": 1.614443, "relative_strength": 13.870144, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.945813, "energy": 60.647742, "activity_lines": [ 1.692151, 1.690138, 1.623225, 1.540085 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 1.528668, "volume": 180029, "typical_volume": 177167.2, "trend": 1.430735, "fair_value": 1.61016, "relative_strength": 5.356672, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.372911, "energy": 31.27282, "activity_lines": [ 1.634522, 1.666315, 1.618731, 1.547815 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 1.528668, "volume": 131318, "typical_volume": 172520.75, "trend": 1.445048, "fair_value": 1.605326, "relative_strength": 4.267512, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.928632, "energy": 25.550077, "activity_lines": [ 1.588723, 1.641664, 1.613833, 1.554133 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 1.619661, "volume": 48825, "typical_volume": 151053.9, "trend": 1.462684, "fair_value": 1.600983, "relative_strength": 11.091027, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.567678, "energy": 26.790347, "activity_lines": [ 1.585993, 1.632482, 1.617342, 1.565398 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 1.637859, "volume": 26215, "typical_volume": 142923.8, "trend": 1.480055, "fair_value": 1.597079, "relative_strength": 12.072955, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.260955, "energy": 24.35442, "activity_lines": [ 1.596609, 1.627767, 1.622195, 1.5767 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 1.683355, "volume": 151715, "typical_volume": 140517.9, "trend": 1.499378, "fair_value": 1.594108, "relative_strength": 18.829588, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.150263, "energy": 20.060023, "activity_lines": [ 1.627547, 1.632482, 1.631078, 1.589816 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 1.806195, "volume": 289375, "typical_volume": 150681.9, "trend": 1.521633, "fair_value": 1.591603, "relative_strength": 28.852458, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.858699, "energy": 48.39148, "activity_lines": [ 1.696397, 1.660773, 1.650706, 1.609611 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 1.828942, "volume": 259059, "typical_volume": 160369.5, "trend": 1.548426, "fair_value": 1.589337, "relative_strength": 33.160433, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.75244, "energy": 72.563367, "activity_lines": [ 1.754329, 1.691379, 1.671049, 1.629437 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 1.759162, "volume": 341524, "typical_volume": 170208.0, "trend": 1.570422, "fair_value": 1.586534, "relative_strength": 29.887908, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.546328, "energy": 70.762535, "activity_lines": [ 1.768982, 1.707313, 1.683057, 1.643033 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 1.95357, "volume": 485315, "typical_volume": 187129.95, "trend": 1.599916, "fair_value": 1.585026, "relative_strength": 40.544928, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.719863, "energy": 85.312409, "activity_lines": [ 1.839138, 1.758042, 1.712135, 1.667752 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 2.076854, "volume": 262021, "typical_volume": 190216.95, "trend": 1.631338, "fair_value": 1.584356, "relative_strength": 47.037198, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.661917, "energy": 89.224176, "activity_lines": [ 1.929341, 1.826853, 1.75078, 1.698522 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 2.086338, "volume": 125608, "typical_volume": 187412.65, "trend": 1.652752, "fair_value": 1.584128, "relative_strength": 52.19401, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.062856, "energy": 88.465064, "activity_lines": [ 1.996472, 1.889407, 1.78748, 1.727877 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 1.934604, "volume": 144183, "typical_volume": 187572.05, "trend": 1.66809, "fair_value": 1.582594, "relative_strength": 40.28695, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.908582, "energy": 76.062117, "activity_lines": [ 1.994349, 1.914233, 1.806856, 1.746061 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 1.991504, "volume": 144764, "typical_volume": 163685.95, "trend": 1.683215, "fair_value": 1.581997, "relative_strength": 39.979082, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.948843, "energy": 62.93144, "activity_lines": [ 2.004149, 1.942024, 1.829436, 1.766927 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 2.038921, "volume": 89357, "typical_volume": 164243.9, "trend": 1.698707, "fair_value": 1.581322, "relative_strength": 39.413746, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.361705, "energy": 56.299379, "activity_lines": [ 2.014264, 1.971675, 1.855066, 1.789875 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 2.152721, "volume": 384595, "typical_volume": 175037.25, "trend": 1.721025, "fair_value": 1.58214, "relative_strength": 40.997281, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.654493, "energy": 59.078514, "activity_lines": [ 2.056623, 2.014725, 1.889926, 1.819167 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 2.370838, "volume": 489342, "typical_volume": 197696.3, "trend": 1.750007, "fair_value": 1.585407, "relative_strength": 53.407514, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.660767, "energy": 80.22389, "activity_lines": [ 2.16663, 2.088899, 1.94365, 1.86109 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 2.370838, "volume": 294737, "typical_volume": 211907.35, "trend": 1.7799, "fair_value": 1.589055, "relative_strength": 49.35776, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.450155, "energy": 88.083031, "activity_lines": [ 2.25767, 2.152807, 1.994208, 1.901144 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 2.399288, "volume": 229539, "typical_volume": 222935.0, "trend": 1.811347, "fair_value": 1.592503, "relative_strength": 48.84863, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.524175, "energy": 90.433175, "activity_lines": [ 2.329111, 2.212035, 2.044376, 1.941104 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 2.532055, "volume": 363883, "typical_volume": 234499.6, "trend": 1.845854, "fair_value": 1.597519, "relative_strength": 53.525039, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.581596, "energy": 94.465678, "activity_lines": [ 2.417623, 2.283764, 2.103995, 1.987601 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 2.361355, "volume": 153314, "typical_volume": 229735.9, "trend": 1.875279, "fair_value": 1.602872, "relative_strength": 39.899315, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.54037, "energy": 83.201793, "activity_lines": [ 2.416358, 2.313938, 2.143467, 2.02086 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 2.465672, "volume": 160423, "typical_volume": 228755.6, "trend": 1.908029, "fair_value": 1.609563, "relative_strength": 43.394477, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.957569, "energy": 66.396922, "activity_lines": [ 2.435957, 2.357906, 2.189429, 2.058949 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 2.313938, "volume": 152695, "typical_volume": 229824.45, "trend": 1.936176, "fair_value": 1.61485, "relative_strength": 33.42608, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.715427, "energy": 57.994661, "activity_lines": [ 2.398656, 2.36739, 2.216479, 2.085137 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 2.257038, "volume": 215428, "typical_volume": 238154.6, "trend": 1.955299, "fair_value": 1.618867, "relative_strength": 28.165438, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.688209, "energy": 41.423934, "activity_lines": [ 2.346182, 2.359631, 2.23437, 2.105838 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 2.930356, "volume": 1588101, "typical_volume": 316248.9, "trend": 1.996259, "fair_value": 1.626913, "relative_strength": 61.674403, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.000395, "energy": 62.228262, "activity_lines": [ 2.52763, 2.469465, 2.313351, 2.168745 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 3.186406, "volume": 511472, "typical_volume": 334236.75, "trend": 2.044086, "fair_value": 1.636982, "relative_strength": 72.578779, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.377902, "energy": 78.377175, "activity_lines": [ 2.767874, 2.609646, 2.410563, 2.245528 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 2.930356, "volume": 234693, "typical_volume": 331502.65, "trend": 2.084894, "fair_value": 1.644504, "relative_strength": 52.844042, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.023214, "energy": 82.526219, "activity_lines": [ 2.867766, 2.684478, 2.476232, 2.302707 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 3.120023, "volume": 279281, "typical_volume": 332513.75, "trend": 2.13157, "fair_value": 1.65305, "relative_strength": 61.305787, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.133002, "energy": 90.093581, "activity_lines": [ 2.9999, 2.783623, 2.554612, 2.36949 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 3.328657, "volume": 634438, "typical_volume": 347159.45, "trend": 2.184897, "fair_value": 1.662933, "relative_strength": 68.687254, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.016883, "energy": 91.321875, "activity_lines": [ 3.147841, 2.907079, 2.646713, 2.446721 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 3.271757, "volume": 551723, "typical_volume": 350479.85, "trend": 2.236782, "fair_value": 1.671975, "relative_strength": 59.837964, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.351645, "energy": 73.826103, "activity_lines": [ 3.205373, 3.003292, 2.725922, 2.516841 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 3.414007, "volume": 285180, "typical_volume": 351637.8, "trend": 2.295987, "fair_value": 1.682405, "relative_strength": 61.081241, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.887268, "energy": 74.605414, "activity_lines": [ 3.287562, 3.111919, 2.812401, 2.592791 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 3.385557, "volume": 383200, "typical_volume": 364517.4, "trend": 2.357883, "fair_value": 1.692415, "relative_strength": 56.131729, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.484577, "energy": 67.149469, "activity_lines": [ 3.345095, 3.196235, 2.889803, 2.663086 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 3.527807, "volume": 414289, "typical_volume": 378022.7, "trend": 2.424521, "fair_value": 1.703098, "relative_strength": 59.38178, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.055698, "energy": 67.340811, "activity_lines": [ 3.419697, 3.289689, 2.974566, 2.738565 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 3.432973, "volume": 387258, "typical_volume": 390147.4, "trend": 2.484965, "fair_value": 1.71408, "relative_strength": 54.389826, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.837616, "energy": 61.14074, "activity_lines": [ 3.435502, 3.34383, 3.042711, 2.803626 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 3.1265, "volume": 165761, "typical_volume": 393967.6, "trend": 2.534586, "fair_value": 1.722899, "relative_strength": 38.888407, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.505171, "energy": 50.819984, "activity_lines": [ 3.342196, 3.320868, 3.074804, 2.845016 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 3.367, "volume": 501211, "typical_volume": 399798.4, "trend": 2.590708, "fair_value": 1.732172, "relative_strength": 48.914818, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.235451, "energy": 45.400609, "activity_lines": [ 3.338739, 3.338067, 3.124622, 2.89872 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 3.1746, "volume": 330074, "typical_volume": 391835.0, "trend": 2.636321, "fair_value": 1.740163, "relative_strength": 38.426933, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.829624, "energy": 30.328134, "activity_lines": [ 3.274284, 3.317001, 3.150334, 2.93639 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 3.0784, "volume": 884582, "typical_volume": 421327.25, "trend": 2.67797, "fair_value": 1.747241, "relative_strength": 29.715003, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.723077, "energy": 22.655232, "activity_lines": [ 3.191825, 3.274004, 3.163057, 2.964912 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 3.04954, "volume": 303362, "typical_volume": 425018.4, "trend": 2.720982, "fair_value": 1.754479, "relative_strength": 27.453078, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.070429, "energy": 20.138252, "activity_lines": [ 3.129707, 3.226515, 3.169662, 2.988884 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 3.19384, "volume": 500484, "typical_volume": 431848.45, "trend": 2.762325, "fair_value": 1.762692, "relative_strength": 31.261194, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.870252, "energy": 20.000325, "activity_lines": [ 3.141251, 3.210338, 3.186914, 3.019391 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 3.7518, "volume": 2030598, "typical_volume": 525712.65, "trend": 2.818156, "fair_value": 1.774333, "relative_strength": 51.22106, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.878394, "energy": 38.192662, "activity_lines": [ 3.334292, 3.297025, 3.254153, 3.083228 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 3.62674, "volume": 985936, "typical_volume": 566988.3, "trend": 2.869503, "fair_value": 1.785519, "relative_strength": 46.148537, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.917225, "energy": 46.230166, "activity_lines": [ 3.459993, 3.354832, 3.30286, 3.135395 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 3.54978, "volume": 579162, "typical_volume": 588311.65, "trend": 2.923342, "fair_value": 1.795865, "relative_strength": 42.653174, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.972766, "energy": 57.967983, "activity_lines": [ 3.529899, 3.394261, 3.338709, 3.179283 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 3.58826, "volume": 408607, "typical_volume": 597970.6, "trend": 2.976567, "fair_value": 1.807002, "relative_strength": 44.146432, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.234005, "energy": 63.741964, "activity_lines": [ 3.581205, 3.440287, 3.372338, 3.222181 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 3.4632, "volume": 729971, "typical_volume": 555064.1, "trend": 3.024043, "fair_value": 1.817337, "relative_strength": 40.510307, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.405077, "energy": 46.699922, "activity_lines": [ 3.554911, 3.460751, 3.387717, 3.253577 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 3.54016, "volume": 400715, "typical_volume": 549526.25, "trend": 3.070291, "fair_value": 1.828116, "relative_strength": 38.416107, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.364152, "energy": 35.542353, "activity_lines": [ 3.536312, 3.489087, 3.407889, 3.286875 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 3.13612, "volume": 445119, "typical_volume": 560047.55, "trend": 3.095801, "fair_value": 1.836651, "relative_strength": 21.063954, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.567303, "energy": 14.23204, "activity_lines": [ 3.397143, 3.440812, 3.387896, 3.291122 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 3.00144, "volume": 1408406, "typical_volume": 616503.8, "trend": 3.116821, "fair_value": 1.84368, "relative_strength": 14.050245, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.779633, "energy": 13.728821, "activity_lines": [ 3.245788, 3.368749, 3.354096, 3.285034 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 3.16498, "volume": 604021, "typical_volume": 614982.95, "trend": 3.142344, "fair_value": 1.851609, "relative_strength": 20.135133, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.149471, "energy": 17.146011, "activity_lines": [ 3.185503, 3.32782, 3.336436, 3.288141 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 3.02068, "volume": 328974, "typical_volume": 603845.5, "trend": 3.158631, "fair_value": 1.859157, "relative_strength": 11.847728, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.551343, "energy": 29.199776, "activity_lines": [ 3.105336, 3.258556, 3.305813, 3.280292 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 3.02068, "volume": 69680, "typical_volume": 593070.5, "trend": 3.180609, "fair_value": 1.866853, "relative_strength": 11.346264, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.179797, "energy": 41.195373, "activity_lines": [ 3.054671, 3.192441, 3.276386, 3.271392 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 2.9822, "volume": 559456, "typical_volume": 601883.3, "trend": 3.197826, "fair_value": 1.874599, "relative_strength": 9.140446, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.307077, "energy": 46.014234, "activity_lines": [ 3.025811, 3.132622, 3.245166, 3.258591 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 2.886, "volume": 385646, "typical_volume": 600451.15, "trend": 3.216895, "fair_value": 1.881827, "relative_strength": 2.61239, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.688103, "energy": 50.887374, "activity_lines": [ 2.975145, 3.067031, 3.206706, 3.238473 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 2.81866, "volume": 262851, "typical_volume": 594230.8, "trend": 3.235616, "fair_value": 1.888772, "relative_strength": -0.115538, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.733194, "energy": 68.463315, "activity_lines": [ 2.909729, 3.001265, 3.164888, 3.212781 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 2.66474, "volume": 184905, "typical_volume": 595188.0, "trend": 3.226762, "fair_value": 1.894434, "relative_strength": -6.35163, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.90633, "energy": 76.965733, "activity_lines": [ 2.816095, 2.921507, 3.111337, 3.17595 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 2.44348, "volume": 396674, "typical_volume": 589961.15, "trend": 3.201998, "fair_value": 1.89932, "relative_strength": -13.017578, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.723021, "energy": 86.011769, "activity_lines": [ 2.672436, 2.816036, 3.038912, 3.125416 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 2.42424, "volume": 209181, "typical_volume": 583916.5, "trend": 3.185127, "fair_value": 1.904775, "relative_strength": -16.125197, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.101374, "energy": 89.379896, "activity_lines": [ 2.560844, 2.727008, 2.969053, 3.075238 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 2.70322, "volume": 289231, "typical_volume": 554148.95, "trend": 3.171234, "fair_value": 1.911227, "relative_strength": -8.673354, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.165339, "energy": 79.147675, "activity_lines": [ 2.579443, 2.701646, 2.929336, 3.044147 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 2.7417, "volume": 775006, "typical_volume": 577731.15, "trend": 3.151669, "fair_value": 1.91978, "relative_strength": -8.9673, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.906988, "energy": 57.962499, "activity_lines": [ 2.623053, 2.688703, 2.89507, 3.016435 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 2.56854, "volume": 890576, "typical_volume": 597235.75, "trend": 3.128228, "fair_value": 1.927939, "relative_strength": -11.679177, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.209562, "energy": 50.250106, "activity_lines": [ 2.614075, 2.651972, 2.845779, 2.978814 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 2.35, "volume": 656403, "typical_volume": 528526.0, "trend": 3.092761, "fair_value": 1.934699, "relative_strength": -17.227546, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.472038, "energy": 53.648764, "activity_lines": [ 2.538663, 2.583727, 2.778652, 2.928606 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 2.19, "volume": 426507, "typical_volume": 500554.55, "trend": 3.052909, "fair_value": 1.940511, "relative_strength": -21.198329, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.631136, "energy": 62.500388, "activity_lines": [ 2.416149, 2.498585, 2.702963, 2.870363 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 2.25, "volume": 473464, "typical_volume": 495269.65, "trend": 3.010316, "fair_value": 1.946319, "relative_strength": -19.89372, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.008924, "energy": 71.664653, "activity_lines": [ 2.329252, 2.438757, 2.639829, 2.818562 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 2.29, "volume": 392560, "typical_volume": 494467.3, "trend": 2.972217, "fair_value": 1.951941, "relative_strength": -19.045766, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.130125, "energy": 71.386351, "activity_lines": [ 2.285903, 2.397764, 2.586694, 2.77209 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 2.21, "volume": 536650, "typical_volume": 484801.25, "trend": 2.941667, "fair_value": 1.956844, "relative_strength": -25.16881, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.310434, "energy": 68.724414, "activity_lines": [ 2.246, 2.351839, 2.532123, 2.722915 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 2.29, "volume": 861194, "typical_volume": 507825.2, "trend": 2.905767, "fair_value": 1.962012, "relative_strength": -22.346958, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.680969, "energy": 51.896651, "activity_lines": [ 2.256667, 2.328726, 2.491138, 2.680872 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 2.38, "volume": 429426, "typical_volume": 507040.55, "trend": 2.87928, "fair_value": 1.967822, "relative_strength": -17.893595, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.388423, "energy": 43.623626, "activity_lines": [ 2.301333, 2.324768, 2.464677, 2.646952 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 2.5, "volume": 288156, "typical_volume": 451028.05, "trend": 2.86, "fair_value": 1.974558, "relative_strength": -13.320226, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.600345, "energy": 30.704439, "activity_lines": [ 2.373333, 2.343432, 2.453246, 2.622482 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 2.4, "volume": 206641, "typical_volume": 431159.05, "trend": 2.838349, "fair_value": 1.981197, "relative_strength": -16.860691, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.214392, "energy": 24.382601, "activity_lines": [ 2.395333, 2.34761, 2.434679, 2.592805 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 2.24, "volume": 496516, "typical_volume": 439536.15, "trend": 2.806554, "fair_value": 1.987356, "relative_strength": -21.269089, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.464137, "energy": 27.43357, "activity_lines": [ 2.356667, 2.328909, 2.404516, 2.554201 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 2.2, "volume": 318677, "typical_volume": 451986.0, "trend": 2.754827, "fair_value": 1.993387, "relative_strength": -22.761067, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.802336, "energy": 36.185528, "activity_lines": [ 2.302667, 2.308909, 2.374262, 2.515069 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 2.16, "volume": 54016, "typical_volume": 426714.0, "trend": 2.705936, "fair_value": 1.998852, "relative_strength": -24.581339, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.675708, "energy": 50.130282, "activity_lines": [ 2.241333, 2.284364, 2.344106, 2.476693 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 2.27, "volume": 262907, "typical_volume": 420577.05, "trend": 2.663277, "fair_value": 2.00541, "relative_strength": -19.69455, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.31303, "energy": 50.74543, "activity_lines": [ 2.231333, 2.280364, 2.328341, 2.448568 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 2.42, "volume": 91081, "typical_volume": 411988.55, "trend": 2.624335, "fair_value": 2.012982, "relative_strength": -16.060725, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.846003, "energy": 36.509134, "activity_lines": [ 2.286667, 2.303273, 2.329795, 2.432873 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 2.65, "volume": 32078, "typical_volume": 404347.2, "trend": 2.597228, "fair_value": 2.022391, "relative_strength": -8.491219, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 2.09399, "energy": 7.25743, "activity_lines": [ 2.417333, 2.365636, 2.355053, 2.434529 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 2.45, "volume": 13273, "typical_volume": 385177.15, "trend": 2.560889, "fair_value": 2.030571, "relative_strength": -14.847078, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.39522, "energy": 19.738698, "activity_lines": [ 2.454, 2.383636, 2.361333, 2.42503 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 2.61, "volume": 29425, "typical_volume": 376189.35, "trend": 2.543352, "fair_value": 2.039387, "relative_strength": -9.868328, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 8.6667, "energy": 26.790876, "activity_lines": [ 2.527333, 2.427818, 2.38282, 2.428198 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.475, "volume": 152280, "typical_volume": 369341.8, "trend": 2.525804, "fair_value": 2.047155, "relative_strength": -13.699814, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -0.954653, "energy": 22.255121, "activity_lines": [ 2.525667, 2.443273, 2.390566, 2.423789 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.4, "volume": 130025, "typical_volume": 337092.75, "trend": 2.500305, "fair_value": 2.05408, "relative_strength": -15.919707, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.341131, "energy": 17.455443, "activity_lines": [ 2.485333, 2.445545, 2.392255, 2.415672 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.42, "volume": 138813, "typical_volume": 299504.6, "trend": 2.480282, "fair_value": 2.060458, "relative_strength": -14.557229, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.911186, "energy": 9.514347, "activity_lines": [ 2.453, 2.451455, 2.397476, 2.410491 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.54, "volume": 162414, "typical_volume": 274805.15, "trend": 2.464259, "fair_value": 2.067035, "relative_strength": -11.831242, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.902912, "energy": 12.643763, "activity_lines": [ 2.476, 2.475909, 2.414833, 2.414344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.73, "volume": 286457, "typical_volume": 267802.65, "trend": 2.455853, "fair_value": 2.074855, "relative_strength": -7.745315, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 43.54884, "energy": 28.054947, "activity_lines": [ 2.556333, 2.528727, 2.449381, 2.431489 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }