{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6e329f0a-5b62-4032-8923-faadb9e98637",
    "symbol": "600369",
    "name": "Southwest Securities Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -13.513,
    "architecture_energy": 13.865,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.213,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.574,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 65.78,
        "rotation_up": 32.41,
        "upward_expansion": 25.01,
        "deceleration": 49.63,
        "rotation_down": 18.58,
        "downward_expansion": 44.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.108388,
        4.061234,
        4.05417,
        4.113255
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 4.11,
    "trend_reference": 4.220126,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.026095,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 4.200534,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.021553,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.180002,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.10262,
    "excess_performance": -0.059416,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026095,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039638,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021553,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034051,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.0618,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074812,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.10262,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.361536,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 157955648,
      "relative_activity": 0.975784,
      "balance": 0.361536,
      "dry_up": 1.312359,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 6
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.046886,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.151694,
      "from_high_reference": -0.204683,
      "from_low_reference": 0.095792
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.220126,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.200534,
      "structural_low": 3.750711,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": 0.001235,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000731,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.194805,
        "worst_return": -0.065327,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.037736,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021322,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.434621,
        "worst_return": -0.136986,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.043702,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.022122,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.248964,
        "worst_return": -0.190332,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.076279,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00132,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.105878,
        "worst_return": -0.155661,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.048,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005571,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.099323,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.039714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.025943,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.130221,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.077195,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.042339,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.064583,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.011246,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008772,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.048035,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 163038259.95,
        "trend": 4.23246,
        "fair_value": 4.197387,
        "relative_strength": -2.238402,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -17.139609,
        "energy": 15.02208,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.11,
        "volume": 157955648,
        "typical_volume": 161875669.5,
        "trend": 4.220126,
        "fair_value": 4.200534,
        "relative_strength": -6.180002,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -13.51321,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}