{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6e3ff60b-4e18-4541-90c4-6dc00932701a",
    "symbol": "SCWS",
    "name": "iShares MSCI World SRI UCITS ETF CHF Hedged (Dist)",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 84.341,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.018,
    "architecture_energy": 52.456,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.468,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.512,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.48,
        "rotation_up": 43.91,
        "upward_expansion": 67.82,
        "deceleration": 88.27,
        "rotation_down": 27.67,
        "downward_expansion": 20.16
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.732533,
        7.735659,
        7.644268,
        7.513507
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 7.886,
    "trend_reference": 7.381501,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.068346,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.540203,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.205773,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.243951,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.100312,
    "excess_performance": 0.017429,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068346,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032692,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.205773,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034663,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01244,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.049507,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100312,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.84736,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 83766,
      "relative_activity": 1.120146,
      "balance": 3.84736,
      "dry_up": 1.069228,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.015914,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.118424,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001646,
      "from_low_reference": 0.187904
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.381501,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.540203,
      "structural_low": 6.638583,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.001514,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014965,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.074779,
        "worst_return": -0.069208,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.041132,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.037042,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.109762,
        "worst_return": 0.030065,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.08587,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.033794,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.105626,
        "worst_return": 0.076518,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.095246,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018843,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.190226,
        "worst_return": 0.000266,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.034045,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.025383,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.056628,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.023707,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.031008,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.006502,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.060342,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.020504,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.063283,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.069208,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": 0.083569,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "active": true
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        "relative_strength": 1.108182,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 6.356605,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 40.907619,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "relative_strength": 3.706786,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "direction": 74.561568,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "fair_value": 6.383354,
        "relative_strength": 2.918159,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 73.871626,
        "energy": 75.082566,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "relative_strength": 1.611645,
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        "direction": 75.365975,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 99016.55,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 6.423834,
        "relative_strength": 3.653581,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 88664.65,
        "trend": 7.199062,
        "fair_value": 6.436493,
        "relative_strength": 1.46999,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.897395,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 6.463454,
        "relative_strength": -1.12386,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.526053,
        "energy": 87.597065,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 5592,
        "typical_volume": 81070.1,
        "trend": 7.284151,
        "fair_value": 6.477496,
        "relative_strength": -1.484398,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.723211,
        "energy": 91.721828,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 39856,
        "typical_volume": 79957.2,
        "trend": 7.305899,
        "fair_value": 6.49013,
        "relative_strength": -1.24995,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.649553,
        "energy": 85.772045,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.771203,
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          7.523164,
          7.416618
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 61261,
        "typical_volume": 80803.2,
        "trend": 7.327797,
        "fair_value": 6.502258,
        "relative_strength": -2.626235,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.272697,
        "energy": 72.410815,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.749467,
          7.721973,
          7.555111,
          7.441592
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.63,
        "volume": 91479,
        "typical_volume": 82112.85,
        "trend": 7.344949,
        "fair_value": 6.513914,
        "relative_strength": -3.201592,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.67259,
        "energy": 54.096945,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.705667,
          7.713148,
          7.579272,
          7.461089
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.633,
        "volume": 83327,
        "typical_volume": 83112.9,
        "trend": 7.361572,
        "fair_value": 6.526174,
        "relative_strength": -3.168943,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.36518,
        "energy": 40.559902,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.673533,
          7.702142,
          7.601349,
          7.479673
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.886,
        "volume": 83766,
        "typical_volume": 74781.3,
        "trend": 7.381501,
        "fair_value": 6.540203,
        "relative_strength": -1.243951,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.01839,
        "energy": 52.456054,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.732533,
          7.735659,
          7.644268,
          7.513507
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}