{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6e4318aa-57d7-41a1-b72f-5338c3a5ecb0",
    "symbol": "XTLB",
    "name": "XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TLV",
    "country": "IL",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "TA35.TA",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 90.39,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -3.343,
    "architecture_energy": 14.91,
    "architecture_maturity": 16.194,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.273,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 64.29,
        "rotation_up": 38.77,
        "upward_expansion": 32.39,
        "deceleration": 42.79,
        "rotation_down": 15.39,
        "downward_expansion": 40.72
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.020533,
        0.019818,
        0.019719,
        0.020329
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.021,
    "trend_reference": 0.0219,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.041096,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.049147,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.572714,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -35.73167,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.275862,
    "excess_performance": -0.304762,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041096,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.12633,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.572714,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014015,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.357317,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.206753,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.275862,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.645879,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6669084,
      "relative_activity": 0.453319,
      "balance": 0.645879,
      "dry_up": 0.484131,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.095238,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.917833,
      "from_high_reference": -0.822034,
      "from_low_reference": 0.235294
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.0219,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.049147,
      "structural_low": 0.017,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.025862,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031136,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 1.969697,
        "worst_return": -0.27907,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.133092,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.140368,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 2.027027,
        "worst_return": -0.3,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.246814,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.358267,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.216216,
        "worst_return": -0.45,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.23913,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.272264,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.628571,
        "worst_return": -0.551724,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2023-12-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.076923,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-01-05",
        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.081081,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.24,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.076087,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.126214,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.073684,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.213333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.137255,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.175,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.354839,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.322581,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.1,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.235294,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.05,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 14635003.25,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.02,
        "volume": 2273188,
        "typical_volume": 14542968.95,
        "trend": 0.021933,
        "fair_value": 0.049231,
        "relative_strength": -40.262992,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -23.531915,
        "energy": 19.175133,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0202,
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          0.019624,
          0.020389
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.021,
        "volume": 6669084,
        "typical_volume": 14711679.35,
        "trend": 0.0219,
        "fair_value": 0.049147,
        "relative_strength": -35.73167,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -3.34276,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}