{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6e619beb-993c-4e2a-96a4-fc230fdb6427",
    "symbol": "601606",
    "name": "Anhui Great Wall Military Industry Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -43.048,
    "architecture_energy": 29.745,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.402,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.38,
        "rotation_up": 27.73,
        "upward_expansion": 17.26,
        "deceleration": 47.0,
        "rotation_down": 33.34,
        "downward_expansion": 67.26
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        31.653047,
        30.546565,
        32.307834,
        34.634794
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 32.889999,
    "trend_reference": 38.184247,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.13865,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 23.00195,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.429879,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -24.372224,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.280464,
    "excess_performance": -0.23726,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.13865,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.14403,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.429879,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.389917,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.243722,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.12745,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.280464,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.856675,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 200710942,
      "relative_activity": 2.259135,
      "balance": 0.856675,
      "dry_up": 2.086925,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.10032,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.523883,
      "from_high_reference": -0.573245,
      "from_low_reference": 0.3156
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 38.184247,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.00195,
      "structural_low": 25.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
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        "positive_rate": 0.291667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.708333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020296,
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        "worst_return": -0.173316,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "worst_return": -0.255425,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.118023,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.163362,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.055462,
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 32.049999,
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        "typical_volume": 66655094.6,
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        "fair_value": 22.743208,
        "relative_strength": -23.965546,
        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -66.514882,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 33.939999,
        "volume": 377629452,
        "typical_volume": 81788204.45,
        "trend": 38.691914,
        "fair_value": 22.874952,
        "relative_strength": -19.981681,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.004122,
        "energy": 44.68894,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.582463,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 32.889999,
        "volume": 200710942,
        "typical_volume": 88844137.3,
        "trend": 38.184247,
        "fair_value": 23.00195,
        "relative_strength": -24.372224,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -43.048099,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}