{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6e692a62-8f3d-4ec9-8cb6-0dcf568d41c0",
    "symbol": "LY27",
    "name": "Lyxor Index Fund - Lyxor Stoxx Europe 600 (DR)",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.329,
    "architecture_energy": 79.392,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.164,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.791,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.57,
        "rotation_up": 66.26,
        "upward_expansion": 89.75,
        "deceleration": 50.13,
        "rotation_down": 21.48,
        "downward_expansion": 16.42
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 325.350006,
    "trend_reference": 302.414999,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.07584,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 253.620833,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.282821,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -8.460752,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.094165,
    "excess_performance": -0.080082,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07584,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040765,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.282821,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062463,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.084608,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00344,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094165,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.45977,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 1.538462,
      "balance": 4.45977,
      "dry_up": 1.256078,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017378,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.151492,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002911,
      "from_low_reference": 0.247986
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 253.620833,
      "structural_low": 270.850006,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": 0.015205,
        "positive_rate": 0.68,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.68,
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        "worst_return": -0.039869,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -9.889151,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 488.75,
        "trend": 298.08,
        "fair_value": 250.802564,
        "relative_strength": -10.029911,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.649145,
        "energy": 82.960904,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 315.5,
        "volume": 303,
        "typical_volume": 475.8,
        "trend": 299.16,
        "fair_value": 251.479166,
        "relative_strength": -8.003118,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.081735,
        "energy": 79.694227,
        "activity_lines": [
          315.919999,
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          303.489247
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 317.149994,
        "volume": 298,
        "typical_volume": 410.1,
        "trend": 300.28,
        "fair_value": 252.149038,
        "relative_strength": -8.550268,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.679123,
        "energy": 77.036352,
        "activity_lines": [
          316.533331,
          314.524544,
          308.624761,
          304.649892
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 319.549988,
        "volume": 797,
        "typical_volume": 380.85,
        "trend": 301.358332,
        "fair_value": 252.866666,
        "relative_strength": -7.600843,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.792829,
        "energy": 62.121335,
        "activity_lines": [
          317.629995,
          315.814542,
          310.24976,
          305.893117
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 325.350006,
        "volume": 617,
        "typical_volume": 401.05,
        "trend": 302.414999,
        "fair_value": 253.620833,
        "relative_strength": -8.460752,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.329089,
        "energy": 79.39158,
        "activity_lines": [
          320.183331,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}