{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6e6d6334-a0bf-4ebf-b8c9-5e9ac697da76", "symbol": "WCLD", "name": "WISDOMTREE CLOUD COMPUTING FUND", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 92.965, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.736, "architecture_energy": 79.426, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 77.994, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.44, "rotation_up": 77.57, "upward_expansion": 92.54, "deceleration": 42.53, "rotation_down": 11.08, "downward_expansion": 16.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.853333, 34.332909, 32.47666, 31.259042 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 39.01, "trend_reference": 30.202273, "distance_from_trend": 0.291625, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.179461, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.175727, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.487458, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.399211, "excess_performance": 0.211757, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.291625, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01679, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.175727, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.276169, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.054875, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.308604, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.399211, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.453571, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4068450, "relative_activity": 0.789748, "balance": 1.453571, "dry_up": 0.919649, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079396, "annualized_volatility": 0.451815, "from_high_reference": -0.007884, "from_low_reference": 0.632894 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.202273, "fair_value_reference": 33.179461, "structural_low": 23.8901, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.001547, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": -0.013699, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.130624, "worst_return": -0.196881, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.025787, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.055355, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.105925, "worst_return": -0.32129, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.037551, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.131848, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.038375, "worst_return": -0.249397, "sufficient": false }, { 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"label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.007181, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.046905, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.103317, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.169154, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.115148, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-30", 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39.70677, "energy": 25.716553, "activity_lines": [ 31.500667, 31.186673, 29.851457, 29.63923 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 33.86, "volume": 3403649, "typical_volume": 5853680.05, "trend": 30.132503, "fair_value": 33.103499, "relative_strength": -10.30842, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.703744, "energy": 37.018108, "activity_lines": [ 32.348, 31.761904, 30.31504, 29.875864 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 34.79, "volume": 4978815, "typical_volume": 5617397.65, "trend": 30.10917, "fair_value": 33.115166, "relative_strength": -3.33004, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.367547, "energy": 69.525473, "activity_lines": [ 33.394667, 32.414771, 30.83586, 30.176348 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.45, "volume": 4911605, "typical_volume": 5296666.35, "trend": 30.00217, "fair_value": 33.108692, "relative_strength": -7.780478, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.94762, "energy": 64.595501, "activity_lines": [ 33.382667, 32.550729, 31.098062, 30.327369 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.49, "volume": 4991708, "typical_volume": 5222543.5, "trend": 30.056897, "fair_value": 33.128948, "relative_strength": 0.68517, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.321821, "energy": 69.586461, "activity_lines": [ 34.190667, 33.169818, 31.636909, 30.681423 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.01, "volume": 4068450, "typical_volume": 5151580.5, "trend": 30.202273, "fair_value": 33.179461, "relative_strength": 5.487458, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.736083, "energy": 79.425698, "activity_lines": [ 35.853333, 34.332909, 32.47666, 31.259042 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }