{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6e8754f9-9789-414a-b50f-385c522d366b",
    "symbol": "EASG",
    "name": "XTRACKERS MSCI EAFE SELECTION EQUITY ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 94.07,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.264,
    "architecture_energy": 45.125,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.109,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.904,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.63,
        "rotation_up": 55.21,
        "upward_expansion": 78.65,
        "deceleration": 59.76,
        "rotation_down": 21.61,
        "downward_expansion": 5.32
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        38.650453,
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        37.383756
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 39.4641,
    "trend_reference": 36.877512,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.07014,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.825379,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.280247,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.969239,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.073014,
    "excess_performance": -0.052611,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07014,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036784,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.280247,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030145,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009692,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015109,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073014,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.546024,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 27694,
      "relative_activity": 1.938514,
      "balance": 1.546024,
      "dry_up": 1.083983,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.0329,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.178513,
      "from_high_reference": -0.051116,
      "from_low_reference": 0.236119
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 30.825379,
      "structural_low": 32.4469,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": 0.003476,
        "positive_rate": 0.575758,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.575758,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003727,
        "regime_survival": 0.69697,
        "best_return": 0.054875,
        "worst_return": -0.055976,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "worst_return": -0.10467,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.05694,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.156213,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 36.433196,
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        "typical_volume": 18099.3,
        "trend": 35.017165,
        "fair_value": 29.672391,
        "relative_strength": -1.798752,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 32.117447,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 29.740167,
        "relative_strength": -2.284025,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "energy": 35.670588,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 15968.25,
        "trend": 35.245061,
        "fair_value": 29.813948,
        "relative_strength": -2.480144,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.413,
        "energy": 51.166283,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 15742.45,
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        "fair_value": 29.881806,
        "relative_strength": -4.56268,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 45.091295,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 14194.15,
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        "relative_strength": -3.055198,
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        "direction": 58.788301,
        "energy": 40.557298,
        "activity_lines": [
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          36.206498,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 37.667894,
        "volume": 4931,
        "typical_volume": 13542.85,
        "trend": 35.569144,
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        "relative_strength": -3.483701,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 44.167841,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 36.832967,
        "volume": 30781,
        "typical_volume": 14410.8,
        "trend": 35.67936,
        "fair_value": 30.108153,
        "relative_strength": -3.068887,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 52.542596,
        "energy": 33.417676,
        "activity_lines": [
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          36.411332,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 37.96654,
        "volume": 9791,
        "typical_volume": 14382.9,
        "trend": 35.812365,
        "fair_value": 30.183731,
        "relative_strength": -0.560489,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.193671,
        "energy": 47.178721,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 35.991811,
        "fair_value": 30.267835,
        "relative_strength": -0.310415,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 67.260777,
        "energy": 56.867888,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 13774.15,
        "trend": 36.119306,
        "fair_value": 30.344199,
        "relative_strength": 0.540962,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.716426,
        "energy": 41.86148,
        "activity_lines": [
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          36.601475
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 38.4176,
        "volume": 18935,
        "typical_volume": 14428.2,
        "trend": 36.263824,
        "fair_value": 30.428447,
        "relative_strength": 0.069739,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 63.578595,
        "energy": 54.86161,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.079196,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 38.4393,
        "volume": 9018,
        "typical_volume": 14350.35,
        "trend": 36.408244,
        "fair_value": 30.505928,
        "relative_strength": -1.190384,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.84866,
        "energy": 59.886226,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.265683,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 38.0498,
        "volume": 5974,
        "typical_volume": 13487.05,
        "trend": 36.529755,
        "fair_value": 30.581028,
        "relative_strength": -0.663119,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.478857,
        "energy": 50.135605,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.215247,
          38.000918,
          37.380541,
          36.996012
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 37.935,
        "volume": 5691,
        "typical_volume": 12815.95,
        "trend": 36.632356,
        "fair_value": 30.654343,
        "relative_strength": -0.361768,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.169746,
        "energy": 47.10515,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.120993,
          38.036094,
          37.503785,
          37.086673
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.5231,
        "volume": 22585,
        "typical_volume": 13527.75,
        "trend": 36.750053,
        "fair_value": 30.736854,
        "relative_strength": 0.056744,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.610859,
        "energy": 36.982384,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.253407,
          38.152265,
          37.66998,
          37.208656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 39.4641,
        "volume": 27694,
        "typical_volume": 14286.2,
        "trend": 36.877512,
        "fair_value": 30.825379,
        "relative_strength": -0.969239,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.264446,
        "energy": 45.125171,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.650453,
          38.418204,
          37.906156,
          37.383756
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}