{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6e875a70-720e-4e96-b9a2-2d3de19c7840",
    "symbol": "MHK",
    "name": "Mohawk Industries Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 56.076,
    "architecture_energy": 60.882,
    "architecture_maturity": 29.077,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.908,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.5,
        "rotation_up": 65.27,
        "upward_expansion": 56.62,
        "deceleration": 28.48,
        "rotation_down": 19.08,
        "downward_expansion": 19.62
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        123.032,
        119.014727,
        113.204286,
        111.518624
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 136.06,
    "trend_reference": 112.126,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.213456,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 115.909679,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.173845,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.607227,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.031617,
    "excess_performance": -0.094008,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.213456,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013501,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.173845,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.271274,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046072,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.241445,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031617,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.828326,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6146415,
      "relative_activity": 1.422854,
      "balance": 2.828326,
      "dry_up": 1.152525,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.073457,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.427168,
      "from_high_reference": -0.049396,
      "from_low_reference": 0.463168
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 112.126,
      "fair_value_reference": 115.909679,
      "structural_low": 92.99,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.005846,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034593,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.155009,
        "worst_return": -0.226621,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.154101,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.199347,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.213461,
        "worst_return": -0.277269,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.01152,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.136877,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.291304,
        "worst_return": -0.093934,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.055022,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.159812,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.293606,
        "worst_return": -0.12801,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.07605,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.129496,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.087524,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.14167,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.114176,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.146592,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.051702,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.021783,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.121724,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.093525,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.226621,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.118803,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.066429,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.140008,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 4625990.15,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 32.126175,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 4368139.6,
        "trend": 110.957,
        "fair_value": 115.547821,
        "relative_strength": -6.282817,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 4378626.65,
        "trend": 110.873,
        "fair_value": 115.532692,
        "relative_strength": -14.457721,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.628119,
        "energy": 39.695953,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 111.5,
        "volume": 3768284,
        "typical_volume": 4425510.25,
        "trend": 110.993667,
        "fair_value": 115.540449,
        "relative_strength": -11.616649,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.396774,
        "energy": 35.625007,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.816667,
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          108.071095,
          109.015828
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 113.27,
        "volume": 3365079,
        "typical_volume": 4266172.1,
        "trend": 111.095,
        "fair_value": 115.580256,
        "relative_strength": -9.287359,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 14.246123,
        "energy": 16.122522,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.381333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 123.1,
        "volume": 6634832,
        "typical_volume": 4316197.85,
        "trend": 111.548,
        "fair_value": 115.694423,
        "relative_strength": -2.206123,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.615573,
        "energy": 26.788902,
        "activity_lines": [
          116.158,
          114.770545,
          110.432905,
          109.937204
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 136.06,
        "volume": 6146415,
        "typical_volume": 4319779.85,
        "trend": 112.126,
        "fair_value": 115.909679,
        "relative_strength": 4.607227,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 56.075887,
        "energy": 60.88248,
        "activity_lines": [
          123.032,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}