{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6e92d8de-a575-42fd-8091-a6b98b777c66", "symbol": "GIS", "name": "General Mills Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 88.364, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -2.226, "architecture_energy": 12.121, "architecture_maturity": 21.868, "architecture_confidence": 69.511, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.12, "rotation_up": 37.21, "upward_expansion": 35.16, "deceleration": 42.18, "rotation_down": 16.85, "downward_expansion": 41.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.513333, 36.135823, 35.348032, 36.094527 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 36.89, "trend_reference": 37.927439, "distance_from_trend": -0.027353, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 52.828735, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.301706, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.446181, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.216163, "excess_performance": -0.341788, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.027353, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080561, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.301706, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075897, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.214462, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.1084, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.216163, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.223185, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42128019, "relative_activity": 0.892235, "balance": 1.223185, "dry_up": 0.997618, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06481, "annualized_volatility": 0.301755, "from_high_reference": -0.24984, "from_low_reference": 0.181458 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.927439, "fair_value_reference": 52.828735, "structural_low": 31.224138, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.017079, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.034469, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.139299, "worst_return": -0.185354, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.102229, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.002306, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.144317, "worst_return": -0.305845, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.034262, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.039845, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.331455, "worst_return": -0.145651, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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44019527, "typical_volume": 49187949.25, "trend": 38.445824, "fair_value": 53.19454, "relative_strength": -21.122569, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.357598, "energy": 20.956318, "activity_lines": [ 36.666605, 35.67463, 35.136432, 36.350347 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.75, "volume": 45009155, "typical_volume": 49031361.05, "trend": 38.159387, "fair_value": 53.005369, "relative_strength": -21.894309, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.40437, "energy": 15.122861, "activity_lines": [ 36.411183, 35.820317, 35.180883, 36.176423 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.89, "volume": 42128019, "typical_volume": 47216276.25, "trend": 37.927439, "fair_value": 52.828735, "relative_strength": -21.446181, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.226218, "energy": 12.121296, "activity_lines": [ 36.513333, 36.135823, 35.348032, 36.094527 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }