{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6e965e52-5f6b-4e04-9029-295872931b31", "symbol": "605177", "name": "Zhejiang East Asia Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.483, "architecture_energy": 52.491, "architecture_maturity": 23.491, "architecture_confidence": 81.742, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.04, "rotation_up": 14.31, "upward_expansion": 7.63, "deceleration": 50.95, "rotation_down": 65.68, "downward_expansion": 80.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.766667, 16.345818, 18.243667, 19.150172 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 16.77, "trend_reference": 20.169333, "distance_from_trend": -0.16854, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 21.010421, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.201825, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.437457, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.217452, "excess_performance": -0.174248, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.16854, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034267, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.201825, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.185843, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.154375, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.120743, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.217452, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.729655, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8241555, "relative_activity": 0.682517, "balance": 0.729655, "dry_up": 0.955187, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.144214, "annualized_volatility": 0.473662, "from_high_reference": -0.307025, "from_low_reference": 0.223195 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.169333, "fair_value_reference": 21.010421, "structural_low": 13.71, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.046498, "positive_rate": 0.764706, "directional_follow_through": 0.235294, "median_excess_return": 0.023139, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.186303, "worst_return": -0.152901, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.009255, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.01619, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.468189, "worst_return": -0.121242, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.119421, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.081292, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.188366, "worst_return": -0.112586, "sufficient": false }, 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"regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.820532, "energy": 81.25901, "activity_lines": [ 17.152667, 18.937091, 19.981286, 20.398215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.35, "volume": 12169399, "typical_volume": 12113531.75, "trend": 20.426333, "fair_value": 21.194893, "relative_strength": -20.475464, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.087739, "energy": 84.185418, "activity_lines": [ 16.372, 18.072545, 19.474524, 20.064624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.32, "volume": 14832700, "typical_volume": 12224136.3, "trend": 20.284, "fair_value": 21.126062, "relative_strength": -26.282051, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.994496, "energy": 83.539883, "activity_lines": [ 15.594667, 17.125091, 18.90581, 19.670667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.65, "volume": 10892800, "typical_volume": 12295783.5, "trend": 20.203667, "fair_value": 21.064873, "relative_strength": -19.361418, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.496402, "energy": 72.141138, "activity_lines": [ 15.481333, 16.574182, 18.504857, 19.371699 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.77, "volume": 8241555, "typical_volume": 12075239.6, "trend": 20.169333, "fair_value": 21.010421, "relative_strength": -15.437457, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.483015, "energy": 52.491464, "activity_lines": [ 15.766667, 16.345818, 18.243667, 19.150172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }