{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6ea5a144-2e3f-4d8f-83ba-cc06b4773051", "symbol": "CAMP", "name": "CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS CORPORATION", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 83.294, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.729, "architecture_energy": 47.406, "architecture_maturity": 4.704, "architecture_confidence": 88.846, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.8, "rotation_up": 18.37, "upward_expansion": 14.36, "deceleration": 33.85, "rotation_down": 56.24, "downward_expansion": 80.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.748667, 3.900182, 4.073238, 4.178903 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 4.24, "trend_reference": 4.277667, "distance_from_trend": -0.008805, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.217604, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.00531, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.758309, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.104167, "excess_performance": -0.083287, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.008805, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066283, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.00531, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047145, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.077583, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.176209, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.104167, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.326902, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1346798, "relative_activity": 1.730552, "balance": 1.326902, "dry_up": 1.250503, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.193291, "annualized_volatility": 0.697928, "from_high_reference": -0.452903, "from_low_reference": 2.212121 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.277667, "fair_value_reference": 4.217604, "structural_low": 2.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.296214, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.228986, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 10.72, "volume": 849395, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 11.0, "volume": 772202, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": 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"activity_lines": [ 4.294667, 4.282545, 4.34019, 4.392237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.71, "volume": 915626, "typical_volume": 1038566.35, "trend": 4.512333, "fair_value": 4.236989, "relative_strength": -14.310209, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.51188, "energy": 26.271044, "activity_lines": [ 4.112667, 4.174182, 4.272524, 4.334731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.16, "volume": 962333, "typical_volume": 1073285.3, "trend": 4.419, "fair_value": 4.225532, "relative_strength": -26.151281, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.949786, "energy": 48.305916, "activity_lines": [ 3.779333, 3.979455, 4.15619, 4.247484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.45, "volume": 668048, "typical_volume": 754063.4, "trend": 4.334, "fair_value": 4.217368, "relative_strength": -20.3108, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.526223, "energy": 57.444257, "activity_lines": [ 3.607333, 3.858364, 4.072429, 4.184968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.24, "volume": 1346798, "typical_volume": 778247.8, "trend": 4.277667, "fair_value": 4.217604, "relative_strength": -7.758309, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.729061, "energy": 47.405665, "activity_lines": [ 3.748667, 3.900182, 4.073238, 4.178903 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }