{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6eafeb89-62d9-46b1-b25b-a1467253f5ce", "symbol": "EIC", "name": "Eagle Point Income Company Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 50.116, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 23.378, "architecture_energy": 14.335, "architecture_maturity": 42.972, "architecture_confidence": 74.331, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.12, "rotation_up": 26.93, "upward_expansion": 50.19, "deceleration": 79.91, "rotation_down": 25.57, "downward_expansion": 23.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.984485, 10.00504, 10.005101, 9.852931 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 9.99, "trend_reference": 9.74541, "distance_from_trend": 0.025098, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.989064, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.090914, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.78679, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.04387, "excess_performance": -0.081755, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.025098, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012251, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.090914, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024832, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.137868, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019559, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.04387, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.070272, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 456921, "relative_activity": 0.828383, "balance": 1.070272, "dry_up": 0.884952, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032922, "annualized_volatility": 0.147106, "from_high_reference": -0.180517, "from_low_reference": 0.154709 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.74541, "fair_value_reference": 10.989064, "structural_low": 8.651534, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.001388, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.003158, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.052994, "worst_return": -0.037363, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.061294, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.017036, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.133103, "worst_return": -0.02581, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.018001, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.021218, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.164686, "worst_return": -0.116893, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"activity_lines": [ 10.084405, 10.116983, 9.921042, 9.80725 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.89, "volume": 540835, "typical_volume": 627262.3, "trend": 9.786361, "fair_value": 10.965787, "relative_strength": -12.634955, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.37673, "energy": 21.806095, "activity_lines": [ 10.031253, 10.068546, 9.94214, 9.812863 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.97, "volume": 509024, "typical_volume": 585207.55, "trend": 9.768123, "fair_value": 10.974836, "relative_strength": -10.923114, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.601238, "energy": 22.211568, "activity_lines": [ 10.014739, 10.039264, 9.967785, 9.82471 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.97, "volume": 445715, "typical_volume": 551807.85, "trend": 9.754454, "fair_value": 10.983474, "relative_strength": -11.37373, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.616067, "energy": 19.339359, "activity_lines": [ 9.999565, 10.017526, 9.987799, 9.837735 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.99, "volume": 456921, "typical_volume": 551582.0, "trend": 9.74541, "fair_value": 10.989064, "relative_strength": -13.78679, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.377824, "energy": 14.335188, "activity_lines": [ 9.984485, 10.00504, 10.005101, 9.852931 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }