{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6ec7a0b9-1fc2-4d3c-9414-b7849d37a01a", "symbol": "002990", "name": "Maxvision Technology Corp.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 8.223, "architecture_energy": 20.642, "architecture_maturity": 81.097, "architecture_confidence": 73.581, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.57, "rotation_up": 18.91, "upward_expansion": 43.55, "deceleration": 84.92, "rotation_down": 41.65, "downward_expansion": 32.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.297332, 53.19709, 54.114481, 50.015382 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 52.82, "trend_reference": 44.017798, "distance_from_trend": 0.199969, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.686168, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.77928, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 37.880162, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.869436, "excess_performance": 0.862036, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.199969, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.236839, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.77928, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.45499, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.378802, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.25857, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.869436, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.700198, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 81803042, "relative_activity": 1.400691, "balance": 0.700198, "dry_up": 0.987234, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.220813, "annualized_volatility": 1.11575, "from_high_reference": -0.321777, "from_low_reference": 1.097741 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 44.017798, "fair_value_reference": 29.686168, "structural_low": 25.179467, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.031321, "positive_rate": 0.409091, "directional_follow_through": 0.409091, "median_excess_return": 0.01774, "regime_survival": 0.681818, "best_return": 0.363886, "worst_return": -0.351959, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.03122, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.047954, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.458243, "worst_return": -0.37454, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.024041, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.125474, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.314455, "worst_return": -0.080024, "sufficient": true }, 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"typical_volume": 52868533.45, "trend": 42.126319, "fair_value": 29.445421, "relative_strength": 35.428247, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.002335, "energy": 44.346377, "activity_lines": [ 60.064665, 58.167786, 54.982909, 49.233149 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 46.759998, "volume": 49315600, "typical_volume": 54495480.4, "trend": 42.769792, "fair_value": 29.524656, "relative_strength": 27.527489, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.930683, "energy": 17.720184, "activity_lines": [ 54.979998, 56.101635, 54.78338, 49.532096 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.639999, "volume": 47055957, "typical_volume": 56247664.6, "trend": 43.199281, "fair_value": 29.556682, "relative_strength": 12.453326, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.379204, "energy": 18.103904, "activity_lines": [ 48.456665, 53.333999, 53.903126, 49.39469 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 52.82, "volume": 81803042, "typical_volume": 58401922.55, "trend": 44.017798, "fair_value": 29.686168, "relative_strength": 37.880162, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.223379, "energy": 20.641782, "activity_lines": [ 48.297332, 53.19709, 54.114481, 50.015382 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }