{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6ee004af-a3a5-4002-bab6-96e8da8bb6a1",
    "symbol": "PINFRAL",
    "name": "Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V.",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 85.61,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -16.498,
    "architecture_energy": 13.079,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.047,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.331,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 70.09,
        "rotation_up": 30.75,
        "upward_expansion": 43.72,
        "deceleration": 42.09,
        "rotation_down": 31.43,
        "downward_expansion": 33.38
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        202.122002,
        201.690001,
        201.614478,
        201.531303
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 199.0,
    "trend_reference": 202.18855,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.01577,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 152.044051,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.308831,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -0.80234,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.060607,
    "excess_performance": -0.00594,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01577,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012128,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.308831,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.108127,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008023,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027444,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060607,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.776014,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10416,
      "relative_activity": 0.362184,
      "balance": 2.776014,
      "dry_up": 2.59837,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022556,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.143638,
      "from_high_reference": -0.07809,
      "from_low_reference": 0.151827
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 202.18855,
      "fair_value_reference": 152.044051,
      "structural_low": 186.875593,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.002184,
        "positive_rate": 0.416667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.416667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004705,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.120825,
        "worst_return": -0.042141,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.036127,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.031633,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.211406,
        "worst_return": -0.056505,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.131568,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.151831,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.471166,
        "worst_return": -0.031606,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.149206,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.213909,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.143154,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-01-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.017094,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.001306,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.026176,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.0375,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.042288,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.02521,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 8.3e-05,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.061127,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.022725,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.033925,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": true
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.755692,
        "energy": 15.270206,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 26095.3,
        "trend": 201.809837,
        "fair_value": 150.730698,
        "relative_strength": 2.06352,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 14.000136,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 204.990005,
        "volume": 278335,
        "typical_volume": 28852.9,
        "trend": 202.050893,
        "fair_value": 151.397669,
        "relative_strength": 1.952866,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.721215,
        "energy": 27.141075,
        "activity_lines": [
          203.291336,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 199.0,
        "volume": 10416,
        "typical_volume": 28758.9,
        "trend": 202.18855,
        "fair_value": 152.044051,
        "relative_strength": -0.80234,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.49843,
        "energy": 13.07891,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}