{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6ee70459-e1c3-4364-b444-7f0c5d886ba0", "symbol": "C1TA34", "name": "Cintas Corporation", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 75.096, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 52.911, "architecture_energy": 83.407, "architecture_maturity": 17.281, "architecture_confidence": 62.169, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.51, "rotation_up": 77.32, "upward_expansion": 67.3, "deceleration": 23.67, "rotation_down": 16.0, "downward_expansion": 27.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 205.891998, 195.417271, 184.688365, 184.63838 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 209.220001, "trend_reference": 187.470781, "distance_from_trend": 0.116014, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 195.372908, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.070875, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.148419, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.049636, "excess_performance": 0.106684, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.116014, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021312, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.070875, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.208447, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.011484, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.369727, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.049636, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.662791, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20, "relative_activity": 1.257862, "balance": 0.662791, "dry_up": 2.421384, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029528, "annualized_volatility": 0.344733, "from_high_reference": -0.146907, "from_low_reference": 0.307461 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 187.470781, "fair_value_reference": 195.372908, "structural_low": 160.020126, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.0024, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.106717, "worst_return": -0.007513, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.088426, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.013739, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.248012, "worst_return": -0.066001, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.099801, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.08631, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.3951, "worst_return": -0.213759, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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168.081518, 168.765442, 177.450398, 183.972391 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 172.720001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 32.6, "trend": 190.026109, "fair_value": 191.530337, "relative_strength": -22.683554, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.762096, "energy": 52.638086, "activity_lines": [ 170.311999, 169.1958, 176.226933, 182.808593 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 172.720001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.5, "trend": 189.293347, "fair_value": 191.894944, "relative_strength": -20.605673, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.149076, "energy": 35.270319, "activity_lines": [ 171.94, 169.644691, 175.151279, 181.69207 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 174.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.5, "trend": 188.543464, "fair_value": 192.267756, "relative_strength": -21.259354, "stage": 4, "regime": 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"volume": 49, "typical_volume": 10.65, "trend": 187.024985, "fair_value": 193.643308, "relative_strength": -3.864627, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 34.997201, "energy": 50.523613, "activity_lines": [ 186.516663, 179.937816, 176.414269, 180.62693 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 204.899994, "volume": 81, "typical_volume": 14.7, "trend": 187.006173, "fair_value": 194.20138, "relative_strength": -3.760116, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 56.072305, "energy": 64.228341, "activity_lines": [ 194.227995, 185.41036, 178.90393, 181.780156 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 209.220001, "volume": 4, "typical_volume": 14.9, "trend": 187.13136, "fair_value": 194.787144, "relative_strength": -2.886789, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 52.39938, "energy": 78.04546, "activity_lines": [ 201.233997, 190.858179, 181.805962, 183.213306 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 209.220001, "volume": 20, "typical_volume": 15.9, "trend": 187.470781, "fair_value": 195.372908, "relative_strength": 1.148419, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 52.91077, "energy": 83.407044, "activity_lines": [ 205.891998, 195.417271, 184.688365, 184.63838 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }