{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6ee9a182-3d01-4560-b80a-d41e99b63d31", "symbol": "VU", "name": "Vusion S.A.", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 62.624, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.331, "architecture_energy": 17.264, "architecture_maturity": 27.349, "architecture_confidence": 59.343, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.8, "rotation_up": 40.42, "upward_expansion": 57.67, "deceleration": 71.2, "rotation_down": 25.93, "downward_expansion": 23.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 128.46, 128.585851, 127.571113, 124.800521 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 129.600006, "trend_reference": 123.699028, "distance_from_trend": 0.047704, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 157.467783, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.176974, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -26.52856, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.026941, "excess_performance": -0.02637, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.047704, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.169517, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.176974, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093529, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.265286, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.147085, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.026941, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.201313, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 453830, "relative_activity": 1.666251, "balance": 1.201313, "dry_up": 1.290369, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105775, "annualized_volatility": 0.517271, "from_high_reference": -0.505343, "from_low_reference": 0.296648 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 123.699028, "fair_value_reference": 157.467783, "structural_low": 99.949997, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.009901, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": 0.015545, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.228291, "worst_return": -0.081911, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.020177, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.043762, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.435294, "worst_return": -0.413023, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.084272, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.071569, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.877941, "worst_return": -0.465217, 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"2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.023577, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.024597, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.028837, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.364938, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.073768, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 106.512329, "volume": 109330, "typical_volume": 249801.2, "trend": 124.390469, "fair_value": 76.948009, "relative_strength": -13.954834, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": 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"gate": "down", "direction": 6.642578, "energy": 6.032469, "activity_lines": [ 131.000001, 130.61013, 125.760558, 125.631453 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 115.900002, "volume": 425874, "typical_volume": 292774.2, "trend": 130.812361, "fair_value": 157.223484, "relative_strength": -34.057663, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.642949, "energy": 14.888238, "activity_lines": [ 126.486669, 128.277717, 125.26403, 124.497537 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 129.899994, "volume": 188767, "typical_volume": 273444.65, "trend": 128.505694, "fair_value": 157.270032, "relative_strength": -25.361665, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.863295, "energy": 9.354298, "activity_lines": [ 127.74, 128.474, 126.117978, 124.438675 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 130.399994, "volume": 337339, "typical_volume": 269645.55, "trend": 125.885694, "fair_value": 157.358071, "relative_strength": -25.293166, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 10.151117, "energy": 6.66688, "activity_lines": [ 128.579997, 128.598301, 126.930021, 124.560888 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 129.600006, "volume": 453830, "typical_volume": 272365.95, "trend": 123.699028, "fair_value": 157.467783, "relative_strength": -26.52856, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.330805, "energy": 17.264453, "activity_lines": [ 128.46, 128.585851, 127.571113, 124.800521 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }