{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6eed5311-b6eb-4d0d-a5bd-edf9fa333644", "symbol": "5009", "name": "Gloria Material Technology Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 74.192, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -9.384, "architecture_energy": 12.488, "architecture_maturity": 10.748, "architecture_confidence": 43.581, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.22, "rotation_up": 19.77, "upward_expansion": 14.47, "deceleration": 59.13, "rotation_down": 44.22, "downward_expansion": 39.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.676666, 32.907743, 33.3057, 33.13675 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 32.650002, "trend_reference": 32.958012, "distance_from_trend": -0.009346, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 38.441604, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.15066, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.822015, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.017249, "excess_performance": -0.424123, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.009346, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024793, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.15066, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0607, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.29822, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008103, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.017249, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.832477, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8638193, "relative_activity": 0.464785, "balance": 0.832477, "dry_up": 0.660003, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083476, "annualized_volatility": 0.303109, "from_high_reference": -0.172787, "from_low_reference": 0.116124 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.958012, "fair_value_reference": 38.441604, "structural_low": 29.301205, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.010811, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.357143, "median_excess_return": -0.020599, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.137993, "worst_return": -0.084599, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.050716, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.099456, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.207885, "worst_return": -0.163001, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.029436, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.117654, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.802867, "worst_return": -0.067497, 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23.546535, "energy": 13.900478, "activity_lines": [ 33.282931, 33.760679, 33.450488, 33.183016 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 33.299999, "volume": 10180073, "typical_volume": 18835906.05, "trend": 32.826325, "fair_value": 38.692914, "relative_strength": -27.908743, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.402967, "energy": 10.805847, "activity_lines": [ 33.313333, 33.597995, 33.47208, 33.219999 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.799999, "volume": 21128097, "typical_volume": 19084290.9, "trend": 32.846968, "fair_value": 38.608561, "relative_strength": -29.295999, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.609709, "energy": 6.373352, "activity_lines": [ 32.856666, 33.210799, 33.355181, 33.153784 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.849998, "volume": 9119226, "typical_volume": 18689310.1, "trend": 32.917068, "fair_value": 38.522704, "relative_strength": -27.844899, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.581483, "energy": 7.843848, "activity_lines": [ 32.763332, 33.060207, 33.338545, 33.15398 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 32.650002, "volume": 8638193, "typical_volume": 18585356.1, "trend": 32.958012, "fair_value": 38.441604, "relative_strength": -29.822015, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -9.38438, "energy": 12.488434, "activity_lines": [ 32.676666, 32.907743, 33.3057, 33.13675 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }