{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6eeedc25-1cd2-41d1-9e0c-26d6326c5095", "symbol": "EUN0", "name": "iShares Edge MSCI Europe Minimum Volatility UCITS ETF EUR (Acc)", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 77.185, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.581, "architecture_energy": 75.908, "architecture_maturity": 35.617, "architecture_confidence": 72.81, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.98, "rotation_up": 78.71, "upward_expansion": 93.47, "deceleration": 41.44, "rotation_down": 12.37, "downward_expansion": 15.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 75.076002, 74.560001, 73.694906, 73.188689 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 75.760002, "trend_reference": 72.482667, "distance_from_trend": 0.045215, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 63.472308, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.193591, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.427181, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.062553, "excess_performance": -0.002087, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.045215, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029203, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.193591, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043837, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.004272, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025323, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.062553, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.355357, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20387, "relative_activity": 0.910797, "balance": 2.355357, "dry_up": 0.797511, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01586, "annualized_volatility": 0.113176, "from_high_reference": -0.002764, "from_low_reference": 0.159829 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 72.482667, "fair_value_reference": 63.472308, "structural_low": 68.410004, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": 0.003749, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.000751, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.066075, "worst_return": -0.053516, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.029033, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.008288, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.067335, "worst_return": -0.052443, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.039619, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.006343, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.074744, "worst_return": -0.086449, "sufficient": true }, { 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.053607, "energy": 71.175873, "activity_lines": [ 74.406001, 73.906364, 73.167382, 72.766517 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 75.120003, "volume": 11138, "typical_volume": 23725.65, "trend": 72.277667, "fair_value": 63.327052, "relative_strength": 1.486452, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.301237, "energy": 65.572568, "activity_lines": [ 74.687335, 74.194001, 73.408049, 72.964022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 75.760002, "volume": 20387, "typical_volume": 22383.7, "trend": 72.482667, "fair_value": 63.472308, "relative_strength": -0.427181, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.580959, "energy": 75.908097, "activity_lines": [ 75.076002, 74.560001, 73.694906, 73.188689 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }