{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6ef23a16-aa66-44a7-8c68-97ac7d165052",
    "symbol": "GTX",
    "name": "Garrett Motion Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 36.05,
    "architecture_energy": 23.29,
    "architecture_maturity": 73.615,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.901,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.18,
        "rotation_up": 20.97,
        "upward_expansion": 55.26,
        "deceleration": 93.85,
        "rotation_down": 27.87,
        "downward_expansion": 21.26
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        30.948,
        31.788182,
        30.991503,
        28.467548
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 29.85,
    "trend_reference": 25.239011,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.182693,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.84949,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.323049,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 27.38053,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.564074,
    "excess_performance": 0.37662,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.182693,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.254768,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.323049,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.359334,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.273805,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.279577,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.564074,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.000227,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8984378,
      "relative_activity": 0.712732,
      "balance": 1.000227,
      "dry_up": 0.844322,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.09689,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.503925,
      "from_high_reference": -0.176552,
      "from_low_reference": 1.461722
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 25.239011,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.84949,
      "structural_low": 16.806919,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.098507,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.074098,
        "regime_survival": 0.416667,
        "best_return": 0.556002,
        "worst_return": -0.083418,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.120482,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": 0.107693,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 1.028772,
        "worst_return": -0.13871,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.085291,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002388,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.70103,
        "worst_return": -0.03494,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.16208,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.020613,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 2.487143,
        "worst_return": -0.090655,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-01",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.052685,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.1353,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.014371,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.016556,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.056842,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.005225,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.10269,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.23269,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.10443,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.128,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.536804,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.041734,
        "active": true
      }
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 12619515.55,
        "trend": 24.382622,
        "fair_value": 12.553509,
        "relative_strength": 45.703614,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 44.69565,
        "energy": 35.322164,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 31.15,
        "volume": 13931799,
        "typical_volume": 12848600.3,
        "trend": 24.845398,
        "fair_value": 12.705822,
        "relative_strength": 41.335092,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.597622,
        "energy": 31.51952,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.563333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 29.85,
        "volume": 8984378,
        "typical_volume": 12605541.55,
        "trend": 25.239011,
        "fair_value": 12.84949,
        "relative_strength": 27.38053,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.049873,
        "energy": 23.290184,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}