{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6efcc6b0-0886-4974-8e1d-3eef60bea79a", "symbol": "HUIZ", "name": "Huize Holding\u00a0Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 63.098, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -22.453, "architecture_energy": 14.127, "architecture_maturity": 96.44, "architecture_confidence": 81.997, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.7, "rotation_up": 27.91, "upward_expansion": 15.71, "deceleration": 44.04, "rotation_down": 29.33, "downward_expansion": 63.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.351333, 1.290091, 1.373833, 1.468423 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.66, "trend_reference": 1.633043, "distance_from_trend": 0.016507, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.230846, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.486203, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -37.987436, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.178218, "excess_performance": -0.365671, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.016507, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.276913, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.486203, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048057, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.379874, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060772, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.178218, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 57.819303, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28633153, "relative_activity": 13.025402, "balance": 57.819303, "dry_up": 3.270666, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.203823, "annualized_volatility": 0.793018, "from_high_reference": -0.633554, "from_low_reference": 0.596154 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.633043, "fair_value_reference": 3.230846, "structural_low": 1.04, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": -0.052057, "positive_rate": 0.394737, "directional_follow_through": 0.605263, "median_excess_return": -0.064844, "regime_survival": 0.868421, "best_return": 1.034834, "worst_return": -0.270122, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.011913, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.075098, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.725021, "worst_return": -0.349444, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.209302, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.157639, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.65602, "worst_return": -0.477733, "sufficient": true }, { 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.238095, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.0375, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.415344, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.616908, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.02381, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.457914, "energy": 50.619972, "activity_lines": [ 1.229, 1.283818, 1.416833, 1.542625 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.17, "volume": 23329, "typical_volume": 770154.15, "trend": 1.7046, "fair_value": 3.292962, "relative_strength": -54.749811, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.6717, "energy": 47.55905, "activity_lines": [ 1.217333, 1.246273, 1.384452, 1.503747 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.15, "volume": 22094, "typical_volume": 768037.35, "trend": 1.652933, "fair_value": 3.261231, "relative_strength": -55.255743, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.256066, "energy": 44.847726, "activity_lines": [ 1.202333, 1.216364, 1.353643, 1.467967 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.66, "volume": 28633153, "typical_volume": 2198254.8, "trend": 1.633043, "fair_value": 3.230846, "relative_strength": -37.987436, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.452816, "energy": 14.127182, "activity_lines": [ 1.351333, 1.290091, 1.373833, 1.468423 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }