{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6f12f1b1-cf4f-4047-8e2b-a3fce14bb357", "symbol": "LOGG3", "name": "LOG Commercial Properties e Participa\u00e7\u00f5es S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 59.28, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -13.428, "architecture_energy": 19.061, "architecture_maturity": 25.23, "architecture_confidence": 60.228, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.12, "rotation_up": 17.84, "upward_expansion": 16.6, "deceleration": 69.07, "rotation_down": 54.52, "downward_expansion": 39.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.672, 26.347529, 25.95078, 25.94406 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 25.25, "trend_reference": 26.103148, "distance_from_trend": -0.032684, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.989814, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.32966, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.091306, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.07168, "excess_performance": -0.014631, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.032684, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055319, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.32966, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002363, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.030913, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066842, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.07168, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.272798, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2959800, "relative_activity": 2.003669, "balance": 0.272798, "dry_up": 1.286886, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064273, "annualized_volatility": 0.305686, "from_high_reference": -0.123465, "from_low_reference": 0.488272 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.103148, "fair_value_reference": 18.989814, "structural_low": 22.339599, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.007723, "positive_rate": 0.611111, "directional_follow_through": 0.611111, "median_excess_return": -0.0084, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.226583, "worst_return": -0.119774, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.044397, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.034446, "regime_survival": 0.111111, "best_return": 0.526183, "worst_return": -0.242867, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.0401, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.044642, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.205678, "worst_return": -0.306163, "sufficient": true }, { 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.373665, "energy": 60.057202, "activity_lines": [ 27.458666, 26.784866, 25.980139, 26.03523 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 26.35, "volume": 2177300, "typical_volume": 1584805.0, "trend": 26.057865, "fair_value": 18.793084, "relative_strength": 7.600182, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.244814, "energy": 35.969911, "activity_lines": [ 27.112666, 26.855365, 26.024627, 26.06196 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.83, "volume": 1474100, "typical_volume": 1494470.0, "trend": 26.132484, "fair_value": 18.857716, "relative_strength": 5.009654, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 0.233273, "energy": 9.402575, "activity_lines": [ 26.648667, 26.79299, 26.027205, 26.047259 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.43, "volume": 992700, "typical_volume": 1394975.0, "trend": 26.147105, "fair_value": 18.922886, "relative_strength": 0.911795, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.765908, "energy": 16.027255, "activity_lines": [ 26.110667, 26.610528, 25.996331, 26.001938 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.25, "volume": 2959800, "typical_volume": 1477190.0, "trend": 26.103148, "fair_value": 18.989814, "relative_strength": 3.091306, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.428197, "energy": 19.061332, "activity_lines": [ 25.672, 26.347529, 25.95078, 25.94406 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }