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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.228, "architecture_energy": 49.152, "architecture_maturity": 6.547, "architecture_confidence": 71.746, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.29, "rotation_up": 65.31, "upward_expansion": 78.33, "deceleration": 53.99, "rotation_down": 14.46, "downward_expansion": 11.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 104.013333, 101.887273, 101.305395, 100.736594 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 104.199997, "trend_reference": 98.595712, "distance_from_trend": 0.056841, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 73.478943, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.418093, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 6.734412, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.231953, "excess_performance": 0.170458, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.056841, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098276, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.418093, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033677, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.067344, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070937, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.231953, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.652807, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 46772, "relative_activity": 0.395226, "balance": 0.652807, "dry_up": 0.698582, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047025, "annualized_volatility": 0.324218, "from_high_reference": -0.059331, "from_low_reference": 0.545946 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 98.595712, "fair_value_reference": 73.478943, "structural_low": 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13.527324, "activity_lines": [ 97.293335, 98.841819, 99.93199, 98.774862 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 99.5, "volume": 84269, "typical_volume": 122562.9, "trend": 96.101867, "fair_value": 72.496649, "relative_strength": 8.454614, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.211651, "energy": 17.269751, "activity_lines": [ 97.480001, 98.838183, 99.847795, 99.042532 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 106.599998, "volume": 107864, "typical_volume": 123223.35, "trend": 97.004803, "fair_value": 72.829458, "relative_strength": 13.788497, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.970322, "energy": 18.092539, "activity_lines": [ 100.293333, 100.152728, 100.450552, 99.719831 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 106.400002, "volume": 91783, "typical_volume": 123675.5, "trend": 97.83536, "fair_value": 73.164715, "relative_strength": 11.523118, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.207172, "energy": 43.694145, "activity_lines": [ 102.826667, 101.294546, 100.999594, 100.325972 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 104.199997, "volume": 46772, "typical_volume": 118342.55, "trend": 98.595712, "fair_value": 73.478943, "relative_strength": 6.734412, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.227879, "energy": 49.152466, "activity_lines": [ 104.013333, 101.887273, 101.305395, 100.736594 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }