{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6f2ee870-bc51-4399-8305-4282a4bd601d", "symbol": "MAPP", "name": "HARBOR ETF TRUST MULTI-ASSET EXPLORER ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 66.393, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.335, "architecture_energy": 18.979, "architecture_maturity": 23.27, "architecture_confidence": 78.751, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.98, "rotation_up": 30.52, "upward_expansion": 49.36, "deceleration": 80.89, "rotation_down": 34.29, "downward_expansion": 29.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.535467, 27.555435, 27.58099, 27.419269 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 28.0737, "trend_reference": 27.24158, "distance_from_trend": 0.030546, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.060659, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.217385, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.696781, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.03593, "excess_performance": -0.089695, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.030546, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019444, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.217385, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022261, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.056968, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034868, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.03593, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.331497, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 525, "relative_activity": 0.271059, "balance": 1.331497, "dry_up": 0.825696, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018577, "annualized_volatility": 0.109076, "from_high_reference": -0.007119, "from_low_reference": 0.160651 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.24158, "fair_value_reference": 23.060659, "structural_low": 25.79, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.036864, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.029752, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.036864, "worst_return": -0.036864, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.030367, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.026481, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.030367, "worst_return": 0.030367, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.126063, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.057495, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.126063, "worst_return": 0.126063, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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28.0737, "volume": 525, "typical_volume": 1936.85, "trend": 27.24158, "fair_value": 23.060659, "relative_strength": -5.696781, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.335203, "energy": 18.978751, "activity_lines": [ 27.535467, 27.555435, 27.58099, 27.419269 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }