{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6f300b41-c30f-4595-b5f5-54fc4a511ae6", "symbol": "ILMN", "name": "Illumina, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.706, "architecture_energy": 66.825, "architecture_maturity": 64.467, "architecture_confidence": 94.719, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.1, "rotation_up": 65.15, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 64.04, "rotation_down": 22.93, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 167.633338, 163.279641, 149.274289, 138.827164 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 166.880005, "trend_reference": 127.901002, "distance_from_trend": 0.304759, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 111.609421, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.495214, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 20.279927, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.655556, "excess_performance": 0.481309, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.304759, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.13608, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.495214, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.450076, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.202799, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.159454, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.655556, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.1875, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 4.1875, "dry_up": 0.831169, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055885, "annualized_volatility": 0.372143, "from_high_reference": -0.063419, "from_low_reference": 1.147471 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 127.901002, "fair_value_reference": 111.609421, "structural_low": 95.75, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.017933, "positive_rate": 0.733333, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": 0.005724, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.240982, "worst_return": -0.224698, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.01116, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.026269, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.317032, "worst_return": -0.114378, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.17543, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.331272, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.307491, "worst_return": -0.471225, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"close": 170.380005, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16.05, "trend": 124.498335, "fair_value": 111.5866, "relative_strength": 28.414342, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.986403, "energy": 91.996656, "activity_lines": [ 165.661337, 157.672003, 142.341431, 133.303808 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 169.600006, "volume": 64, "typical_volume": 19.25, "trend": 126.369668, "fair_value": 111.583652, "relative_strength": 26.866827, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.800607, "energy": 75.023658, "activity_lines": [ 167.593338, 161.13164, 146.09286, 136.213594 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 166.880005, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19.25, "trend": 127.901002, "fair_value": 111.609421, "relative_strength": 20.279927, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.706443, "energy": 66.82467, "activity_lines": [ 167.633338, 163.279641, 149.274289, 138.827164 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }