{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6f346b4c-f3b0-4bd9-bce1-ce55c4248497", "symbol": "ORIENTELEC", "name": "Orient Electric Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 74.438, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 42.505, "architecture_energy": 16.603, "architecture_maturity": 24.044, "architecture_confidence": 84.064, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.29, "rotation_up": 34.92, "upward_expansion": 52.08, "deceleration": 79.68, "rotation_down": 26.34, "downward_expansion": 22.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 178.760667, 177.673556, 179.181345, 178.096101 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 189.179993, "trend_reference": 176.972603, "distance_from_trend": 0.068979, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 212.561652, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.109999, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.936668, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.103283, "excess_performance": 0.146992, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.068979, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015236, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.109999, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022075, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.029367, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034454, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.103283, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.618776, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9221088, "relative_activity": 3.156992, "balance": 0.618776, "dry_up": 3.145682, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058456, "annualized_volatility": 0.273772, "from_high_reference": -0.132466, "from_low_reference": 0.269238 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 176.972603, "fair_value_reference": 212.561652, "structural_low": 149.050003, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.025497, "positive_rate": 0.318182, "directional_follow_through": 0.318182, "median_excess_return": -0.012733, "regime_survival": 0.590909, "best_return": 0.063142, "worst_return": -0.158862, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.062194, "positive_rate": 0.181818, "directional_follow_through": 0.181818, "median_excess_return": -0.07173, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.072932, "worst_return": -0.153318, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.10639, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.160986, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 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-13.070972, "energy": 19.401403, "activity_lines": [ 173.953969, 175.492824, 178.000201, 177.263024 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 189.179993, "volume": 9221088, "typical_volume": 2920846.2, "trend": 176.972603, "fair_value": 212.561652, "relative_strength": 2.936668, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.504774, "energy": 16.602745, "activity_lines": [ 178.760667, 177.673556, 179.181345, 178.096101 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }