{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6f42b875-9aef-43f9-a985-be13e1a5a842", "symbol": "IHOO", "name": "iShares Global 100 AUD Hedged ETF", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 77.531, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.773, "architecture_energy": 68.008, "architecture_maturity": 7.741, "architecture_confidence": 81.658, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.56, "rotation_up": 71.37, "upward_expansion": 88.51, "deceleration": 44.27, "rotation_down": 14.1, "downward_expansion": 12.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 242.879331, 240.284989, 239.214471, 236.420243 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 250.139999, "trend_reference": 233.39098, "distance_from_trend": 0.071764, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 187.454143, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.334406, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.485899, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.108187, "excess_performance": 0.044481, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.071764, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018717, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.334406, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005349, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.044859, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05818, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.108187, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.232043, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24179, "relative_activity": 0.985623, "balance": 2.232043, "dry_up": 1.333662, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02371, "annualized_volatility": 0.154568, "from_high_reference": -0.006198, "from_low_reference": 0.230822 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 233.39098, "fair_value_reference": 187.454143, "structural_low": 209.759995, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": 0.020683, "positive_rate": 0.710526, "directional_follow_through": 0.710526, "median_excess_return": 0.012627, "regime_survival": 0.815789, "best_return": 0.078603, "worst_return": -0.078009, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.050275, "positive_rate": 0.785714, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": 0.013743, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.111049, "worst_return": -0.112886, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.067677, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.045996, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.185315, "worst_return": -0.112672, "sufficient": true }, { 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 237.190002, "volume": 49135, "typical_volume": 23593.7, "trend": 232.348647, "fair_value": 186.063482, "relative_strength": 5.228711, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.742132, "energy": 23.806226, "activity_lines": [ 237.567821, 237.787507, 237.063848, 234.727166 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 241.179993, "volume": 34676, "typical_volume": 24110.95, "trend": 232.728647, "fair_value": 186.724235, "relative_strength": 4.272101, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.415994, "energy": 35.983514, "activity_lines": [ 239.127998, 238.20394, 237.754612, 235.29693 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 250.139999, "volume": 24179, "typical_volume": 24531.7, "trend": 233.39098, "fair_value": 187.454143, "relative_strength": 4.485899, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.77325, "energy": 68.008338, "activity_lines": [ 242.879331, 240.284989, 239.214471, 236.420243 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }