{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6f4ea65a-7f23-41a3-8812-9b2334325ca4",
    "symbol": "EPAB",
    "name": "Amundi S&P Eurozone Climate Paris Aligned UCITS ETF Acc",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.968,
    "architecture_energy": 60.943,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.813,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.286,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.08,
        "rotation_up": 55.72,
        "upward_expansion": 80.44,
        "deceleration": 62.06,
        "rotation_down": 25.16,
        "downward_expansion": 9.44
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        42.661667,
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        41.536477,
        40.752936
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 43.805,
    "trend_reference": 39.998167,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.095175,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.594879,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.303919,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.308344,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.112367,
    "excess_performance": 0.059055,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095175,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036576,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.303919,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091165,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053083,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019805,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.112367,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.389158,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 30087,
      "relative_activity": 0.55293,
      "balance": 2.389158,
      "dry_up": 0.351551,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.025164,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.178791,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005675,
      "from_low_reference": 0.246585
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 39.998167,
      "fair_value_reference": 33.594879,
      "structural_low": 35.139999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.004565,
        "positive_rate": 0.529412,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.529412,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004048,
        "regime_survival": 0.823529,
        "best_return": 0.090086,
        "worst_return": -0.076463,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
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        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013649,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 0.114023,
        "worst_return": -0.089352,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.017551,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": 0.142883,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "relative_strength": 2.326429,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.409606,
        "energy": 31.407394,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.060333,
          38.372817,
          38.579023,
          38.508728
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 39.215,
        "volume": 58270,
        "typical_volume": 57940.7,
        "trend": 38.353206,
        "fair_value": 32.335488,
        "relative_strength": 3.327808,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.384758,
        "energy": 29.74197,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.180666,
          38.552272,
          38.627452,
          38.568768
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 38.810001,
        "volume": 21284,
        "typical_volume": 57977.45,
        "trend": 38.398873,
        "fair_value": 32.414367,
        "relative_strength": 4.195143,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.641721,
        "energy": 26.18731,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.033333,
          38.680727,
          38.633381,
          38.598239
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 40.195,
        "volume": 121830,
        "typical_volume": 62016.2,
        "trend": 38.482333,
        "fair_value": 32.504142,
        "relative_strength": 5.599896,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.095424,
        "energy": 31.207216,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.364,
          39.045,
          38.768309,
          38.714118
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 40.665001,
        "volume": 92661,
        "typical_volume": 62655.25,
        "trend": 38.586833,
        "fair_value": 32.59552,
        "relative_strength": 5.804199,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.856377,
        "energy": 43.535651,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.851,
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          38.941428,
          38.854935
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 40.805,
        "volume": 24892,
        "typical_volume": 61488.95,
        "trend": 38.721166,
        "fair_value": 32.689014,
        "relative_strength": 5.590042,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.087865,
        "energy": 58.359974,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.273667,
          39.790182,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 41.865002,
        "volume": 32791,
        "typical_volume": 60557.7,
        "trend": 38.867,
        "fair_value": 32.784912,
        "relative_strength": 6.441053,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.664643,
        "energy": 74.435324,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.916001,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 42.575001,
        "volume": 3266,
        "typical_volume": 58672.55,
        "trend": 39.064167,
        "fair_value": 32.891162,
        "relative_strength": 7.146616,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.041988,
        "energy": 82.061319,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 41.919998,
        "volume": 102091,
        "typical_volume": 61700.35,
        "trend": 39.202166,
        "fair_value": 32.987572,
        "relative_strength": 5.791765,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.205545,
        "energy": 79.203857,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.851333,
          41.043273,
          39.98219,
          39.624344
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 42.810001,
        "volume": 26912,
        "typical_volume": 61039.2,
        "trend": 39.359667,
        "fair_value": 33.095873,
        "relative_strength": 6.286245,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.830601,
        "energy": 85.582773,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.266,
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          40.306905,
          39.857108
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 42.060001,
        "volume": 11593,
        "typical_volume": 59637.35,
        "trend": 39.501667,
        "fair_value": 33.193117,
        "relative_strength": 6.338464,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.001615,
        "energy": 78.833413,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.287667,
          41.719455,
          40.544167,
          40.031323
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 41.82,
        "volume": 16644,
        "typical_volume": 59296.35,
        "trend": 39.616,
        "fair_value": 33.289014,
        "relative_strength": 5.547633,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.124929,
        "energy": 63.178679,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.145667,
          41.851819,
          40.749881,
          40.180893
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 41.900002,
        "volume": 19075,
        "typical_volume": 56172.55,
        "trend": 39.739333,
        "fair_value": 33.382251,
        "relative_strength": 5.146227,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.569878,
        "energy": 50.883127,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.033334,
          41.951364,
          40.956738,
          40.328248
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 42.375,
        "volume": 10711,
        "typical_volume": 54266.95,
        "trend": 39.858,
        "fair_value": 33.483533,
        "relative_strength": 4.480089,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.05687,
        "energy": 47.89464,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.124334,
          42.081091,
          41.189929,
          40.498291
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 43.805,
        "volume": 30087,
        "typical_volume": 54413.8,
        "trend": 39.998167,
        "fair_value": 33.594879,
        "relative_strength": 5.308344,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.96849,
        "energy": 60.942965,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.661667,
          42.431182,
          41.536477,
          40.752936
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}