{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6f5d512a-70dc-4426-9f7b-c450022130c7", "symbol": "SNSY5", "name": "Sansuy S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 80.178, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 18.346, "architecture_energy": 32.582, "architecture_maturity": 26.03, "architecture_confidence": 70.111, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.27, "rotation_up": 63.17, "upward_expansion": 41.55, "deceleration": 43.92, "rotation_down": 16.77, "downward_expansion": 18.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.341333, 2.120727, 2.062476, 2.135269 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.24, "trend_reference": 2.280333, "distance_from_trend": -0.017687, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.042692, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.445914, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -20.071402, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.197133, "excess_performance": -0.140084, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.017687, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.120694, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.445914, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038641, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.200714, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.233716, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.197133, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.747549, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7400, "relative_activity": 0.470738, "balance": 3.747549, "dry_up": 1.900445, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.149382, "annualized_volatility": 0.866182, "from_high_reference": -0.369014, "from_low_reference": 0.659259 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.280333, "fair_value_reference": 4.042692, "structural_low": 1.35, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.053453, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.045315, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.005634, "worst_return": -0.11254, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.045682, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.040901, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.104225, "worst_return": -0.012862, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.017526, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.000927, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.070423, "worst_return": -0.03537, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.29582, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.232418, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.29582, "worst_return": 0.29582, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-07-14", "end": "2023-09-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.128852, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-09-08", "end": "2023-11-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.032178, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-11-17", "end": "2024-01-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.09949, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-01-19", "end": "2024-05-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.170825, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-05-24", "end": "2024-07-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.016367, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2024-07-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.011686, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-07-26", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.059233, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-09-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.005245, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.062069, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.194991, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.258333, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.005698, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.300562, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 4.03, "volume": 100200, "typical_volume": 65835.0, "trend": 3.165, "fair_value": 4.597564, "relative_strength": 24.001344, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.108283, "energy": 53.105554, "activity_lines": [ 1.733333, 1.810182, 1.96681, 2.123699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.2, "volume": 37600, "typical_volume": 14755.0, "trend": 2.312, "fair_value": 4.080385, "relative_strength": -25.298579, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.911234, "energy": 26.044978, "activity_lines": [ 1.908, 1.865636, 1.974333, 2.115183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.49, "volume": 53900, "typical_volume": 17025.0, "trend": 2.302667, "fair_value": 4.066282, "relative_strength": -14.433544, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.724423, "energy": 14.023726, "activity_lines": [ 2.136667, 1.972909, 2.011476, 2.126667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.49, "volume": 20600, "typical_volume": 17185.0, "trend": 2.294, "fair_value": 4.054808, "relative_strength": -15.076515, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.316916, "energy": 37.112578, "activity_lines": [ 2.305333, 2.073091, 2.048762, 2.138753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.24, "volume": 7400, "typical_volume": 15720.0, "trend": 2.280333, "fair_value": 4.042692, "relative_strength": -20.071402, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.346145, "energy": 32.581637, "activity_lines": [ 2.341333, 2.120727, 2.062476, 2.135269 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }