{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6f5f33fb-b9f6-427e-adab-496c5466e12b",
    "symbol": "T1DG34",
    "name": "TransDigm Group Incorporated",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -32.395,
    "architecture_energy": 30.602,
    "architecture_maturity": 74.016,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.702,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.47,
        "rotation_up": 7.09,
        "upward_expansion": 21.68,
        "deceleration": 70.15,
        "rotation_down": 60.29,
        "downward_expansion": 55.02
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        126.944,
        129.646364,
        127.561239,
        127.48871
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 125.059998,
    "trend_reference": 129.959,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.037697,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 128.720135,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.028435,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.484903,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.073218,
    "excess_performance": -0.016169,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037697,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034375,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028435,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000225,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.114849,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.177436,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073218,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.087594,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5415,
      "relative_activity": 5.230873,
      "balance": 0.087594,
      "dry_up": 1.682767,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.04134,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.26434,
      "from_high_reference": -0.20344,
      "from_low_reference": 0.099139
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 129.959,
      "fair_value_reference": 128.720135,
      "structural_low": 113.779999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.052105,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.074146,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.054493,
        "worst_return": -0.144272,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.099313,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.209042,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.050346,
        "worst_return": -0.214607,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.120305,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.128938,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.124886,
        "worst_return": -0.15587,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.151573,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.129104,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.151573,
        "worst_return": -0.151573,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-08",
        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.473606,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.030764,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.009621,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.100489,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.049582,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.05303,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.068805,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.059862,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.047305,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.070211,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.001007,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.045205,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.018915,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.073286,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 81.482269,
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        "typical_volume": 2850.4,
        "trend": 69.769495,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
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      },
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "volume": 5934,
        "typical_volume": 3223.85,
        "trend": 137.078,
        "fair_value": 123.771267,
        "relative_strength": -34.923536,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 3206.45,
        "trend": 136.523333,
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        "relative_strength": -29.228548,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3206.4,
        "trend": 135.966667,
        "fair_value": 124.442463,
        "relative_strength": -25.844625,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 80.702782,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 5711,
        "typical_volume": 3491.2,
        "trend": 135.093333,
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        "relative_strength": -25.171196,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "relative_strength": -19.719951,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 124.790001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3484.2,
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        "relative_strength": -17.224235,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 125.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3480.85,
        "trend": 133.601667,
        "fair_value": 125.84584,
        "relative_strength": -17.422376,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 30.631093,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 134.949997,
        "volume": 6,
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        "trend": 133.23,
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        "relative_strength": -8.914427,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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        "direction": 18.461026,
        "energy": 31.61024,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 136.5,
        "volume": 820,
        "typical_volume": 2038.65,
        "trend": 132.961,
        "fair_value": 126.686502,
        "relative_strength": -9.680317,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 28.954777,
        "energy": 46.588371,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 140.800003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2038.15,
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        "fair_value": 127.096067,
        "relative_strength": -6.7138,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 52.548672,
        "energy": 74.222025,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 132.350006,
        "volume": 184,
        "typical_volume": 1982.35,
        "trend": 132.425667,
        "fair_value": 127.450492,
        "relative_strength": -13.19063,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.277705,
        "energy": 59.795283,
        "activity_lines": [
          135.290002,
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          128.74813
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 127.75,
        "volume": 164,
        "typical_volume": 1990.55,
        "trend": 132.036,
        "fair_value": 127.783391,
        "relative_strength": -13.136994,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 24.406217,
        "energy": 49.34347,
        "activity_lines": [
          133.233335,
          131.293274,
          127.342096,
          128.446474
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 125.75,
        "volume": 1141,
        "typical_volume": 777.15,
        "trend": 131.348667,
        "fair_value": 128.103469,
        "relative_strength": -13.558175,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -19.868647,
        "energy": 20.293052,
        "activity_lines": [
          130.326668,
          130.738728,
          127.321715,
          128.040925
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 128.440002,
        "volume": 248,
        "typical_volume": 764.5,
        "trend": 130.710667,
        "fair_value": 128.44079,
        "relative_strength": -12.590098,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -23.130917,
        "energy": 22.236826,
        "activity_lines": [
          128.930002,
          130.578729,
          127.601477,
          127.85327
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 125.059998,
        "volume": 5415,
        "typical_volume": 1035.2,
        "trend": 129.959,
        "fair_value": 128.720135,
        "relative_strength": -11.484903,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -32.394592,
        "energy": 30.60237,
        "activity_lines": [
          126.944,
          129.646364,
          127.561239,
          127.48871
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}