{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6f790cbd-f3ff-4fc0-b1f1-81975c889e9b",
    "symbol": "UPSALE",
    "name": "Upsales Technology AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 72.469,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.608,
    "architecture_energy": 74.886,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.715,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.933,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.71,
        "rotation_up": 79.69,
        "upward_expansion": 94.41,
        "deceleration": 39.03,
        "rotation_down": 8.84,
        "downward_expansion": 16.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        29.026666,
        27.585454,
        26.9,
        26.13871
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 29.799999,
    "trend_reference": 25.713333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.158932,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 32.307062,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.077601,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -7.561482,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.141762,
    "excess_performance": 0.080268,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.158932,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.057083,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.077601,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049249,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.075615,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042592,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.141762,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.905358,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 388473,
      "relative_activity": 0.771046,
      "balance": 0.905358,
      "dry_up": 0.800009,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.081053,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.591323,
      "from_high_reference": -0.233933,
      "from_low_reference": 0.46798
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 25.713333,
      "fair_value_reference": 32.307062,
      "structural_low": 20.299999,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.030387,
        "positive_rate": 0.384615,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.384615,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03937,
        "regime_survival": 0.692308,
        "best_return": 0.222588,
        "worst_return": -0.273504,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.183582,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.177748,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 271434.95,
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        "fair_value": 33.95253,
        "relative_strength": -16.006569,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 351319.6,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 425162.35,
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        "fair_value": 33.110859,
        "relative_strength": -24.302028,
        "stage": 4,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 40.881414,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 130139,
        "typical_volume": 426921.35,
        "trend": 26.233334,
        "fair_value": 32.563685,
        "relative_strength": -20.432013,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 27.200001,
        "volume": 404748,
        "typical_volume": 433543.8,
        "trend": 26.136667,
        "fair_value": 32.517352,
        "relative_strength": -15.811452,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -8.154953,
        "energy": 6.002645,
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          25.473334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 27.4,
        "volume": 341654,
        "typical_volume": 446709.65,
        "trend": 26.016667,
        "fair_value": 32.47874,
        "relative_strength": -13.667113,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 16.098793,
        "energy": 14.809376,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.32,
          25.7,
          25.738096,
          25.468172
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 28.799999,
        "volume": 533209,
        "typical_volume": 469084.7,
        "trend": 25.91,
        "fair_value": 32.409296,
        "relative_strength": -9.723601,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.193237,
        "energy": 38.746241,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.406667,
          26.223636,
          26.101905,
          25.647742
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 29.5,
        "volume": 348926,
        "typical_volume": 485314.65,
        "trend": 25.78,
        "fair_value": 32.358974,
        "relative_strength": -7.725757,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.620094,
        "energy": 69.905719,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.386667,
          26.890909,
          26.504762,
          25.879355
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 29.799999,
        "volume": 388473,
        "typical_volume": 503826.2,
        "trend": 25.713333,
        "fair_value": 32.307062,
        "relative_strength": -7.561482,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.607866,
        "energy": 74.886347,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.026666,
          27.585454,
          26.9,
          26.13871
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}