{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6f7c3160-36bc-446d-9147-0956dc2c7948", "symbol": "ZSQR", "name": "Z Squared Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -74.465, "architecture_energy": 83.488, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.473, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.07, "rotation_up": 8.33, "upward_expansion": 18.99, "deceleration": 37.01, "rotation_down": 83.5, "downward_expansion": 96.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.926, 7.263, 9.152048, 10.065645 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 4.04, "trend_reference": 11.101, "distance_from_trend": -0.636069, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.032679, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.633815, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -72.553539, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.641526, "excess_performance": -0.82898, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.636069, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.16106, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.633815, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.607688, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.725535, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.537249, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.641526, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.38596, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2446420, "relative_activity": 1.350925, "balance": 0.38596, "dry_up": 1.520771, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.76912, "annualized_volatility": 1.31673, "from_high_reference": -0.811303, "from_low_reference": 0.05483 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.101, "fair_value_reference": 11.032679, "structural_low": 3.83, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.065494, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.098018, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 2.268386, "worst_return": -0.746417, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.232408, "positive_rate": 0.1, "directional_follow_through": 0.9, "median_excess_return": -0.323396, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 1.820896, "worst_return": -0.79935, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.367372, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.563461, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 1.387775, "worst_return": -0.855568, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.240424, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.366156, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.066879, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.230191, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.006193, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.11069, "active": false }, { 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12.463333, 11.685, 11.993595, 12.168806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 8.56, "volume": 2743157, "typical_volume": 1307443.25, "trend": 12.403833, "fair_value": 11.529058, "relative_strength": -44.713261, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.864963, "energy": 19.979768, "activity_lines": [ 11.235, 11.138091, 11.659333, 11.906688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.055, "volume": 4587391, "typical_volume": 1530414.9, "trend": 12.083667, "fair_value": 11.398641, "relative_strength": -65.566995, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.922024, "energy": 59.091427, "activity_lines": [ 8.942333, 10.061, 11.005214, 11.43257 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.26, "volume": 2201294, "typical_volume": 1630543.85, "trend": 11.770667, "fair_value": 11.275949, "relative_strength": -63.155687, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.085997, "energy": 70.619101, "activity_lines": [ 7.109333, 9.155909, 10.403857, 10.992333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.81, "volume": 1780887, "typical_volume": 1700118.45, "trend": 11.443, "fair_value": 11.14909, "relative_strength": -66.103428, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.465833, "energy": 80.683932, "activity_lines": [ 5.891, 8.241545, 9.797405, 10.543258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.04, "volume": 2446420, "typical_volume": 1810922.15, "trend": 11.101, "fair_value": 11.032679, "relative_strength": -72.553539, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.46495, "energy": 83.48756, "activity_lines": [ 4.926, 7.263, 9.152048, 10.065645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }