{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6f8bcc83-d28a-4dd8-a3be-0bd500ccace5", "symbol": "XMUD", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI USA Swap UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 88.347, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.064, "architecture_energy": 64.166, "architecture_maturity": 61.731, "architecture_confidence": 68.063, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.4, "rotation_up": 54.65, "upward_expansion": 81.21, "deceleration": 68.67, "rotation_down": 27.63, "downward_expansion": 10.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 226.825332, 225.580727, 223.407952, 218.934236 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 232.895004, "trend_reference": 213.839833, "distance_from_trend": 0.08911, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 173.156311, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.344999, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.310474, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.133557, "excess_performance": 0.082322, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.08911, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034846, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.344999, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007615, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.033105, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020203, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.133557, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.63631, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8412, "relative_activity": 0.489549, "balance": 0.63631, "dry_up": 1.503333, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018106, "annualized_volatility": 0.128828, "from_high_reference": -0.00242, "from_low_reference": 0.231858 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 213.839833, "fair_value_reference": 173.156311, "structural_low": 191.110001, 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"fair_value": 171.899933, "relative_strength": 0.667613, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.89009, "energy": 57.502897, "activity_lines": [ 224.376665, 224.235545, 221.210547, 216.963365 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 223.039993, "volume": 26348, "typical_volume": 17882.05, "trend": 213.002833, "fair_value": 172.492753, "relative_strength": -0.717894, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.395187, "energy": 50.506055, "activity_lines": [ 224.036663, 224.001453, 221.898213, 217.65087 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 232.895004, "volume": 8412, "typical_volume": 17183.15, "trend": 213.839833, "fair_value": 173.156311, "relative_strength": 3.310474, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.064248, "energy": 64.165697, "activity_lines": [ 226.825332, 225.580727, 223.407952, 218.934236 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }