{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6f8ec6f0-5947-4511-8e93-087fdecdf850",
    "symbol": "BAMI",
    "name": "Banco BPM S.p.A.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 91.979,
    "architecture_energy": 75.267,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.991,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.481,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.97,
        "rotation_up": 73.6,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 54.25,
        "rotation_down": 20.27,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.138333,
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        14.795947,
        14.031734
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 17.084999,
    "trend_reference": 13.186268,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.295666,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 8.033415,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.126742,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.822867,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.400799,
    "excess_performance": 0.226552,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.295666,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091323,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.126742,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.303332,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118229,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.142004,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.400799,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.776102,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 1.776102,
      "dry_up": 0.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.040904,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.356268,
      "from_high_reference": -0.018949,
      "from_low_reference": 0.606966
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.186268,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.033415,
      "structural_low": 10.631836,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.055046,
        "positive_rate": 0.707317,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.707317,
        "median_excess_return": 0.032629,
        "regime_survival": 0.804878,
        "best_return": 0.162981,
        "worst_return": -0.236582,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "median_return": 0.074552,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.12399,
        "regime_survival": 0.733333,
        "best_return": 0.382649,
        "worst_return": -0.082014,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
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        "worst_return": -0.126978,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "best_return": 1.006191,
        "worst_return": -0.018153,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 327.65,
        "trend": 11.840586,
        "fair_value": 6.988884,
        "relative_strength": -5.079595,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.461512,
        "energy": 35.405815,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.311336,
          11.942717,
          11.87349,
          11.88617
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 12.86,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 327.65,
        "trend": 11.876007,
        "fair_value": 7.052721,
        "relative_strength": -2.377539,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.399443,
        "energy": 57.094685,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.527907,
          12.149187,
          11.960801,
          11.951939
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 13.115,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 327.65,
        "trend": 11.940731,
        "fair_value": 7.118057,
        "relative_strength": -0.244787,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.771348,
        "energy": 60.704344,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.735333,
          12.389086,
          12.070084,
          12.031874
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 13.395,
        "volume": 862,
        "typical_volume": 370.75,
        "trend": 12.01602,
        "fair_value": 7.185486,
        "relative_strength": -0.347961,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.534317,
        "energy": 71.236491,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.979667,
          12.639109,
          12.202027,
          12.125698
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 13.515,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 370.75,
        "trend": 12.082828,
        "fair_value": 7.253962,
        "relative_strength": -2.245647,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.778918,
        "energy": 75.654516,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.234667,
          12.865162,
          12.341863,
          12.222406
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 13.195,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 370.75,
        "trend": 12.136967,
        "fair_value": 7.320128,
        "relative_strength": -3.551462,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.457054,
        "energy": 73.607802,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.287333,
          12.988728,
          12.444967,
          12.294159
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 14.465,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 370.75,
        "trend": 12.218645,
        "fair_value": 7.39386,
        "relative_strength": 2.588401,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.768212,
        "energy": 85.997106,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.703667,
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          12.664453,
          12.444355
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 15.685,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 370.75,
        "trend": 12.357325,
        "fair_value": 7.474928,
        "relative_strength": 6.39496,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.254546,
        "energy": 95.128277,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.419667,
          13.792727,
          12.98791,
          12.667991
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 15.065,
        "volume": 862,
        "typical_volume": 413.85,
        "trend": 12.461897,
        "fair_value": 7.551145,
        "relative_strength": 3.875721,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.300054,
        "energy": 90.306014,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.757667,
          14.103364,
          13.235159,
          12.842679
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 15.36,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 413.85,
        "trend": 12.586703,
        "fair_value": 7.629679,
        "relative_strength": 3.126201,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.273905,
        "energy": 91.239762,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.082667,
          14.429273,
          13.496845,
          13.029654
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 15.64,
        "volume": 669,
        "typical_volume": 447.3,
        "trend": 12.705323,
        "fair_value": 7.708436,
        "relative_strength": 6.011507,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.231153,
        "energy": 91.308231,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.378,
          14.746455,
          13.765974,
          13.226641
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 15.34,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 447.3,
        "trend": 12.804183,
        "fair_value": 7.785361,
        "relative_strength": 5.688069,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.928136,
        "energy": 86.130113,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.410333,
          14.948364,
          13.991025,
          13.39662
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 15.69,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 369.7,
        "trend": 12.918069,
        "fair_value": 7.86438,
        "relative_strength": 6.262551,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.162022,
        "energy": 86.453773,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.501,
          15.168818,
          14.234213,
          13.582801
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.815,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 369.7,
        "trend": 13.023482,
        "fair_value": 7.944796,
        "relative_strength": 6.919433,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.568053,
        "energy": 75.198965,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.633,
          15.365182,
          14.466362,
          13.7697
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 17.084999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 369.7,
        "trend": 13.186268,
        "fair_value": 8.033415,
        "relative_strength": 11.822867,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.979361,
        "energy": 75.266722,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.138333,
          15.748454,
          14.795947,
          14.031734
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}