{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6fa79f59-36eb-4526-8301-26fa771c1ab7", "symbol": "6559", "name": "High Power Lighting Corp", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 69.377, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -31.913, "architecture_energy": 46.015, "architecture_maturity": 19.815, "architecture_confidence": 65.641, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.07, "rotation_up": 24.08, "upward_expansion": 17.81, "deceleration": 45.97, "rotation_down": 54.66, "downward_expansion": 57.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.26, 16.931228, 19.747475, 20.242853 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 16.549999, "trend_reference": 19.417792, "distance_from_trend": -0.147689, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.455296, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.229999, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.630523, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.370912, "excess_performance": -0.07046, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.147689, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108764, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.229999, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.733361, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.256305, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.413212, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.370912, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.369932, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 166141, "relative_activity": 0.094386, "balance": 0.369932, "dry_up": 0.195855, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.24353, "annualized_volatility": 1.31963, "from_high_reference": -0.686795, "from_low_reference": 0.563097 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.417792, "fair_value_reference": 13.455296, "structural_low": 11.132198, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.053333, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.110539, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.053333, "worst_return": -0.053333, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.004762, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.085581, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.004762, "worst_return": 0.004762, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.352381, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.272205, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.352381, "worst_return": 0.352381, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 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"direction": -31.914052, "energy": 51.225349, "activity_lines": [ 16.761186, 18.398562, 21.513443, 20.783152 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.55, "volume": 255106, "typical_volume": 2213598.7, "trend": 19.070995, "fair_value": 13.328218, "relative_strength": -30.937156, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.820362, "energy": 55.318089, "activity_lines": [ 15.810558, 17.427196, 20.77412, 20.497123 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.85, "volume": 453433, "typical_volume": 2220062.9, "trend": 19.270183, "fair_value": 13.395067, "relative_strength": -17.221752, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.151489, "energy": 51.919604, "activity_lines": [ 16.243333, 17.251866, 20.333985, 20.418349 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 16.549999, "volume": 166141, "typical_volume": 1760228.15, "trend": 19.417792, "fair_value": 13.455296, "relative_strength": -25.630523, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.912566, "energy": 46.015177, "activity_lines": [ 16.26, 16.931228, 19.747475, 20.242853 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }