{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6faec677-4296-46d9-aeeb-2e96eaebe420",
    "symbol": "SVOL-A",
    "name": "Svolder AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.846,
    "architecture_energy": 95.811,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.802,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.572,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.0,
        "rotation_up": 75.03,
        "upward_expansion": 93.0,
        "deceleration": 47.5,
        "rotation_down": 14.03,
        "downward_expansion": 22.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        92.666667,
        91.809091,
        90.304715,
        89.048773
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 94.0,
    "trend_reference": 87.644033,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.07252,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 84.647086,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.110493,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.046534,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.130681,
    "excess_performance": 0.069186,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07252,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047466,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110493,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078176,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000465,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026748,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130681,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 13.397727,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 27,
      "relative_activity": 0.033896,
      "balance": 13.397727,
      "dry_up": 0.122089,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.010597,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.207311,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005291,
      "from_low_reference": 0.259812
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 87.644033,
      "fair_value_reference": 84.647086,
      "structural_low": 74.614286,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.00532,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008557,
        "regime_survival": 0.681818,
        "best_return": 0.206522,
        "worst_return": -0.261261,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.171171,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.251497,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.245509,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 87.049995,
        "volume": 292,
        "typical_volume": 1345.65,
        "trend": 82.417199,
        "fair_value": 84.334954,
        "relative_strength": -2.754134,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.817952,
        "energy": 28.442101,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.52455,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 87.049995,
        "volume": 444,
        "typical_volume": 1357.45,
        "trend": 82.727286,
        "fair_value": 84.324888,
        "relative_strength": -2.721305,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 40.095305,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 87.049995,
        "volume": 5,
        "typical_volume": 1357.7,
        "trend": 83.037373,
        "fair_value": 84.296498,
        "relative_strength": -1.062967,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.516165,
        "energy": 60.245786,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 87.5,
        "volume": 404,
        "typical_volume": 1370.85,
        "trend": 83.36246,
        "fair_value": 84.286263,
        "relative_strength": -3.690829,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.050071,
        "energy": 65.182577,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 90.0,
        "volume": 379,
        "typical_volume": 1386.8,
        "trend": 83.672466,
        "fair_value": 84.288999,
        "relative_strength": -0.41706,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 78.829633,
        "energy": 72.58572,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 90.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1327.0,
        "trend": 84.080886,
        "fair_value": 84.307007,
        "relative_strength": 0.511975,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.349836,
        "energy": 72.093636,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 90.5,
        "volume": 25,
        "typical_volume": 1182.8,
        "trend": 84.473168,
        "fair_value": 84.328219,
        "relative_strength": 1.443587,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 74.896328,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 92.0,
        "volume": 24,
        "typical_volume": 1108.85,
        "trend": 84.900605,
        "fair_value": 84.365155,
        "relative_strength": 1.205968,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 81.359566,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 90.0,
        "volume": 88,
        "typical_volume": 966.45,
        "trend": 85.261374,
        "fair_value": 84.453409,
        "relative_strength": -0.132009,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.943998,
        "energy": 63.584695,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.633333,
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          87.87643,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 90.5,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 829.35,
        "trend": 85.655306,
        "fair_value": 84.477676,
        "relative_strength": -2.266237,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.188945,
        "energy": 49.293219,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 90.5,
        "volume": 33,
        "typical_volume": 830.1,
        "trend": 86.049238,
        "fair_value": 84.538593,
        "relative_strength": -0.022978,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.229698,
        "energy": 52.792629,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.6,
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          88.526002,
          87.573175
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 90.5,
        "volume": 42,
        "typical_volume": 829.2,
        "trend": 86.44317,
        "fair_value": 84.550643,
        "relative_strength": 1.064422,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.715772,
        "energy": 49.779057,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.533333,
          90.364545,
          88.822704,
          87.860321
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 91.5,
        "volume": 20,
        "typical_volume": 830.2,
        "trend": 86.870435,
        "fair_value": 84.569103,
        "relative_strength": 0.569778,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.967662,
        "energy": 88.542106,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.8,
          90.663636,
          89.200584,
          88.186568
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 93.5,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 795.2,
        "trend": 87.265396,
        "fair_value": 84.606492,
        "relative_strength": 1.400562,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.527394,
        "energy": 95.733396,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.766667,
          91.245455,
          89.750119,
          88.614282
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 94.0,
        "volume": 27,
        "typical_volume": 796.55,
        "trend": 87.644033,
        "fair_value": 84.647086,
        "relative_strength": -0.046534,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.845944,
        "energy": 95.810822,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.666667,
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          90.304715,
          89.048773
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}