{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6fb5f0e5-118b-442d-b6d9-a9dad7956c0b",
    "symbol": "NCAB",
    "name": "NCAB Group AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 13.154,
    "architecture_energy": 19.094,
    "architecture_maturity": 71.401,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.85,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 54.83,
        "rotation_up": 20.02,
        "upward_expansion": 48.69,
        "deceleration": 85.14,
        "rotation_down": 35.59,
        "downward_expansion": 26.69
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        75.457049,
        71.314231
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 71.699997,
    "trend_reference": 64.886408,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.105008,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 60.692587,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.181363,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 9.146148,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.55549,
    "excess_performance": 0.493996,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105008,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.162192,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.181363,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031649,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091461,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.196484,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.55549,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.734038,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1426805,
      "relative_activity": 0.950436,
      "balance": 5.734038,
      "dry_up": 0.779434,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.093981,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.493623,
      "from_high_reference": -0.162383,
      "from_low_reference": 0.909678
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 64.886408,
      "fair_value_reference": 60.692587,
      "structural_low": 37.54559,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.018994,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017591,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.154499,
        "worst_return": -0.214667,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.179645,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.092951,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.081081,
        "worst_return": -0.222614,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.041501,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000351,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.226501,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.072998,
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        "worst_return": -0.006752,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.11273,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.144815,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 812765,
        "typical_volume": 1534881.95,
        "trend": 62.349526,
        "fair_value": 60.480581,
        "relative_strength": 18.051042,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 41.321842,
        "energy": 31.411432,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 1048767,
        "typical_volume": 1516938.6,
        "trend": 63.272121,
        "fair_value": 60.575232,
        "relative_strength": 17.797761,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.588369,
        "energy": 24.614085,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.3,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 68.800003,
        "volume": 1392041,
        "typical_volume": 1479672.65,
        "trend": 64.027648,
        "fair_value": 60.623681,
        "relative_strength": 6.97353,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 17.3994,
        "energy": 23.136994,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.693334,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 71.699997,
        "volume": 1426805,
        "typical_volume": 1501210.9,
        "trend": 64.886408,
        "fair_value": 60.692587,
        "relative_strength": 9.146148,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 13.153982,
        "energy": 19.094008,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}