{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6fcb486c-900f-4b1e-9df2-d7c8c5c7111f", "symbol": "600241", "name": "Liaoning Shidai Wanheng Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.51, "architecture_energy": 44.688, "architecture_maturity": 66.201, "architecture_confidence": 67.161, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.27, "rotation_up": 25.56, "upward_expansion": 18.51, "deceleration": 66.46, "rotation_down": 48.12, "downward_expansion": 70.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.776667, 6.766545, 7.40481, 7.847441 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.13, "trend_reference": 8.266333, "distance_from_trend": -0.137465, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.558013, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.05663, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.76768, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.15119, "excess_performance": -0.107987, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.137465, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075285, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.05663, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.322968, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.147677, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.176086, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.15119, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.538913, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28231219, "relative_activity": 0.773702, "balance": 0.538913, "dry_up": 1.02396, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103247, "annualized_volatility": 0.393056, "from_high_reference": -0.319656, "from_low_reference": 0.214651 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.266333, "fair_value_reference": 7.558013, "structural_low": 5.87, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.041287, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.053096, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.3875, "worst_return": -0.157001, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.120894, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.155355, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.472617, "worst_return": -0.238022, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.238653, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.203128, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.452333, "worst_return": -0.207395, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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8.014381, 8.281742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.64, "volume": 30718404, "typical_volume": 36486567.55, "trend": 8.436667, "fair_value": 7.585385, "relative_strength": -18.280624, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.909667, "energy": 83.643692, "activity_lines": [ 6.658667, 6.982727, 7.837857, 8.162086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.28, "volume": 27147719, "typical_volume": 36434060.0, "trend": 8.363333, "fair_value": 7.5725, "relative_strength": -23.227814, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.02728, "energy": 80.25606, "activity_lines": [ 6.518667, 6.783273, 7.637619, 8.022946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.82, "volume": 63353621, "typical_volume": 37187312.35, "trend": 8.307, "fair_value": 7.564231, "relative_strength": -16.579213, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.757627, "energy": 57.147526, "activity_lines": [ 6.605333, 6.731455, 7.500619, 7.923376 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.13, "volume": 28231219, "typical_volume": 36488478.3, "trend": 8.266333, "fair_value": 7.558013, "relative_strength": -14.76768, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.51021, "energy": 44.687517, "activity_lines": [ 6.776667, 6.766545, 7.40481, 7.847441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }