{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6fdb51c7-d492-4872-a8c0-51a38ae69e19", "symbol": "HLMS", "name": "Holmes Place International Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.192, "architecture_energy": 67.882, "architecture_maturity": 89.84, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.37, "rotation_up": 29.99, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 55.08, "rotation_down": 58.92, "downward_expansion": 87.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.8054, 5.89241, 146.566341, 276.896639 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 5.99, "trend_reference": 431.073254, "distance_from_trend": -0.986104, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 553.582904, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.98918, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -99.054471, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.991441, "excess_performance": -1.020342, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.986104, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.349485, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.98918, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.12723, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.990545, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.69562, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.991441, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.128995, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 107662, "relative_activity": 0.591094, "balance": 0.128995, "dry_up": 0.496856, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 9.085049, "annualized_volatility": 6.315733, "from_high_reference": -0.99251, "from_low_reference": 0.079085 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 431.073254, "fair_value_reference": 553.582904, "structural_low": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.962227, "energy": 84.371875, "activity_lines": [ 6.047913, 77.081488, 291.033862, 401.163708 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.687, "volume": 195334, "typical_volume": 192222.6, "trend": 498.380144, "fair_value": 563.17843, "relative_strength": -99.169212, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.942386, "energy": 69.207493, "activity_lines": [ 5.8936, 41.418722, 249.944949, 367.901159 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.606, "volume": 30085, "typical_volume": 189333.1, "trend": 475.801028, "fair_value": 560.055256, "relative_strength": -99.180577, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.783684, "energy": 68.8455, "activity_lines": [ 5.771867, 17.777166, 212.144465, 336.109279 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.738, "volume": 28909, "typical_volume": 182927.15, "trend": 453.72289, "fair_value": 556.889372, "relative_strength": -99.116166, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.684485, "energy": 68.728314, "activity_lines": [ 5.744, 5.91344, 177.753062, 305.782632 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.99, "volume": 107662, "typical_volume": 182140.3, "trend": 431.073254, "fair_value": 553.582904, "relative_strength": -99.054471, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.192482, "energy": 67.881908, "activity_lines": [ 5.8054, 5.89241, 146.566341, 276.896639 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }