{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6fe846e5-47e7-4664-b8fb-3fa2875899a0", "symbol": "PEX", "name": "UBS MSCI Pacific ex Japan IMI Socially Responsible UCITS ETF USD acc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 86.449, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 92.377, "architecture_energy": 90.185, "architecture_maturity": 12.85, "architecture_confidence": 66.663, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.18, "rotation_up": 84.55, "upward_expansion": 95.17, "deceleration": 41.87, "rotation_down": 8.61, "downward_expansion": 19.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.6056, 15.422636, 15.256, 15.169918 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 16.003, "trend_reference": 15.088233, "distance_from_trend": 0.060628, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.372049, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.19675, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.070736, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.068933, "excess_performance": 0.017698, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.060628, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01828, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.19675, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.010707, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013393, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.068933, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2188, "relative_activity": 2.768919, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 3.079916, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015425, "annualized_volatility": 0.135625, "from_high_reference": -0.179699, "from_low_reference": 0.129677 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.088233, "fair_value_reference": 13.372049, "structural_low": 14.3, "invalidation": "A sustained 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15.065036, 15.026071, 14.993054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 15.093, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 358.2, "trend": 14.920433, "fair_value": 13.250389, "relative_strength": -5.435014, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.908705, "energy": 42.564838, "activity_lines": [ 15.1304, 15.074145, 15.033005, 15.00571 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 15.211, "volume": 2735, "typical_volume": 494.95, "trend": 14.948233, "fair_value": 13.27287, "relative_strength": -2.916109, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.108106, "energy": 55.084818, "activity_lines": [ 15.179933, 15.102691, 15.051262, 15.024456 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.309, "volume": 4812, "typical_volume": 653.5, "trend": 14.976933, "fair_value": 13.295492, "relative_strength": -3.085611, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.809262, "energy": 59.346589, "activity_lines": [ 15.2264, 15.145818, 15.079862, 15.047731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.432, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 571.4, "trend": 15.007167, "fair_value": 13.318146, "relative_strength": -3.403691, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.626666, "energy": 67.719407, "activity_lines": [ 15.295333, 15.207109, 15.121667, 15.07709 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.486, "volume": 2735, "typical_volume": 708.15, "trend": 15.043, "fair_value": 13.342819, "relative_strength": -4.094897, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.222461, "energy": 72.954768, "activity_lines": [ 15.373333, 15.272727, 15.166076, 15.107983 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.003, "volume": 2188, "typical_volume": 790.2, "trend": 15.088233, "fair_value": 13.372049, "relative_strength": -1.070736, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.37737, "energy": 90.184563, "activity_lines": [ 15.6056, 15.422636, 15.256, 15.169918 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }