{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6fe9b84b-f91e-4560-8e79-74e89b5f553f", "symbol": "USCHWH", "name": "UBS Core MSCI USA hCHF UCITS ETF CHF acc", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 72.24, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.78, "architecture_energy": 52.74, "architecture_maturity": 57.717, "architecture_confidence": 64.627, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.73, "rotation_up": 49.94, "upward_expansion": 78.34, "deceleration": 68.78, "rotation_down": 27.22, "downward_expansion": 7.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 52.428001, 52.218728, 51.839357, 50.963441 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 53.810001, "trend_reference": 50.030667, "distance_from_trend": 0.07554, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 43.077668, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.249139, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.297372, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.103569, "excess_performance": 0.020685, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.07554, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02461, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.249139, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010099, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.012974, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065036, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.103569, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.079135, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 273301, "relative_activity": 3.578583, "balance": 3.079135, "dry_up": 1.279198, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020214, "annualized_volatility": 0.134804, "from_high_reference": -0.003149, "from_low_reference": 0.201787 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 50.030667, "fair_value_reference": 43.077668, "structural_low": 44.775002, 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53.828733, "activity_lines": [ 52.096, 52.093636, 51.074119, 50.324258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 51.900002, "volume": 36952, "typical_volume": 93820.0, "trend": 49.712667, "fair_value": 42.73927, "relative_strength": -3.832301, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.526557, "energy": 49.983145, "activity_lines": [ 52.073334, 52.066909, 51.261572, 50.472398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 51.740002, "volume": 43696, "typical_volume": 78839.1, "trend": 49.8015, "fair_value": 42.844687, "relative_strength": -3.899255, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.796373, "energy": 44.325119, "activity_lines": [ 51.978001, 52.003819, 51.417572, 50.603194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 51.459999, "volume": 36827, "typical_volume": 67836.7, "trend": 49.884667, "fair_value": 42.952123, "relative_strength": -4.390534, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.223154, "energy": 34.600903, "activity_lines": [ 51.815334, 51.891637, 51.527381, 50.710194 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 53.810001, "volume": 273301, "typical_volume": 76371.3, "trend": 50.030667, "fair_value": 43.077668, "relative_strength": -1.297372, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.78015, "energy": 52.740287, "activity_lines": [ 52.428001, 52.218728, 51.839357, 50.963441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }