{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6fe9bdb5-5471-496e-8edc-7b0c7286a8b3", "symbol": "002270", "name": "Huaming Power Equipment Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.823, "architecture_energy": 47.058, "architecture_maturity": 74.335, "architecture_confidence": 71.341, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.55, "rotation_up": 26.34, "upward_expansion": 14.66, "deceleration": 66.27, "rotation_down": 45.72, "downward_expansion": 73.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.291333, 19.290364, 20.780659, 22.766179 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 20.17, "trend_reference": 25.2832, "distance_from_trend": -0.202237, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.233645, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.106197, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.644685, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.317076, "excess_performance": -0.324475, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.202237, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070757, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.106197, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.316285, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.186447, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079794, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.317076, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.614445, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 117441881, "relative_activity": 1.387665, "balance": 0.614445, "dry_up": 1.423628, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108539, "annualized_volatility": 0.548869, "from_high_reference": -0.464944, "from_low_reference": 0.190264 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.2832, "fair_value_reference": 18.233645, "structural_low": 17.23, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.014399, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.011002, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.353198, "worst_return": -0.085107, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.158406, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.023336, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.279811, "worst_return": -0.022436, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.255461, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.070666, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.315937, "worst_return": -0.060929, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.897199, "energy": 75.805173, "activity_lines": [ 18.564667, 19.59, 21.909481, 23.942328 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.049999, "volume": 113802532, "typical_volume": 81703522.95, "trend": 25.604296, "fair_value": 18.107408, "relative_strength": -24.517065, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.798094, "energy": 66.467579, "activity_lines": [ 18.192, 19.129091, 21.313952, 23.439918 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.43, "volume": 171485088, "typical_volume": 84327585.3, "trend": 25.438659, "fair_value": 18.172596, "relative_strength": -13.292649, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.916569, "energy": 59.164726, "activity_lines": [ 18.837333, 19.210545, 21.033356, 23.106092 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.17, "volume": 117441881, "typical_volume": 84632711.25, "trend": 25.2832, "fair_value": 18.233645, "relative_strength": -18.644685, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.823486, "energy": 47.058007, "activity_lines": [ 19.291333, 19.290364, 20.780659, 22.766179 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }