{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6fea60d3-f123-4b04-ba15-954183baf3ec",
    "symbol": "RE4",
    "name": "Geo Energy Resources Limited",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 29.821,
    "architecture_energy": 16.806,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.259,
    "architecture_confidence": 42.884,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.12,
        "rotation_up": 50.68,
        "upward_expansion": 63.64,
        "deceleration": 59.08,
        "rotation_down": 16.5,
        "downward_expansion": 15.97
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.516333,
        0.508273,
        0.514576,
        0.514459
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.505,
    "trend_reference": 0.501188,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.007606,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.352015,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.434599,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -9.744447,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.251192,
    "excess_performance": 0.096357,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007606,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045313,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.434599,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.422964,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.097444,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.380258,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.251192,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.262573,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 18591400,
      "relative_activity": 0.249022,
      "balance": 0.262573,
      "dry_up": 0.62436,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.10795,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.504932,
      "from_high_reference": -0.250525,
      "from_low_reference": 0.451108
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    "levels": {
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      "structural_low": 0.388666,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.039473,
        "positive_rate": 0.307692,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.307692,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015937,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.216974,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.381417,
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      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 16.115526,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.54,
        "volume": 77859500,
        "typical_volume": 89809335.0,
        "trend": 0.491546,
        "fair_value": 0.345981,
        "relative_strength": 0.323436,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.198194,
        "energy": 27.125682,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.520667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.535,
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        "typical_volume": 87482920.0,
        "trend": 0.495261,
        "fair_value": 0.34817,
        "relative_strength": -2.306082,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.763494,
        "energy": 33.514747,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.532333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.495,
        "volume": 33795600,
        "typical_volume": 81692525.0,
        "trend": 0.497643,
        "fair_value": 0.350104,
        "relative_strength": -10.416429,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.409002,
        "energy": 25.505959,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.524333,
          0.505636,
          0.516905,
          0.513984
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.505,
        "volume": 18591400,
        "typical_volume": 74657740.0,
        "trend": 0.501188,
        "fair_value": 0.352015,
        "relative_strength": -9.744447,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.821307,
        "energy": 16.805853,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.516333,
          0.508273,
          0.514576,
          0.514459
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}