{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7001390f-3963-44ba-b270-df3839426e87", "symbol": "000908", "name": "CSPC Hunan Jingfeng Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 71.027, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -25.597, "architecture_energy": 14.167, "architecture_maturity": 32.524, "architecture_confidence": 74.114, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.69, "rotation_up": 25.95, "upward_expansion": 17.01, "deceleration": 38.53, "rotation_down": 32.57, "downward_expansion": 60.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.485333, 6.414909, 6.643429, 6.714366 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 6.97, "trend_reference": 6.839333, "distance_from_trend": 0.019105, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.682564, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.488501, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.019015, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.001433, "excess_performance": -0.008832, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.019105, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072088, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.488501, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.169754, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.02019, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089008, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.001433, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.289988, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 145420253, "relative_activity": 1.295008, "balance": 0.289988, "dry_up": 1.559221, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.127469, "annualized_volatility": 0.796427, "from_high_reference": -0.264768, "from_low_reference": 0.521834 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.839333, "fair_value_reference": 4.682564, "structural_low": 4.58, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.001643, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.001195, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 1.401869, "worst_return": -0.345098, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.047795, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.076007, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.75, "worst_return": -0.20915, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.088658, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.179755, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.545045, "worst_return": -0.013072, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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101691087.15, "trend": 6.893667, "fair_value": 4.632436, "relative_strength": -11.410212, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.92733, "energy": 20.677905, "activity_lines": [ 6.442, 6.421455, 6.707286, 6.765355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.98, "volume": 104835124, "typical_volume": 105090258.0, "trend": 6.846667, "fair_value": 4.654359, "relative_strength": -11.608184, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.617479, "energy": 25.282665, "activity_lines": [ 6.324667, 6.315455, 6.630429, 6.706409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.97, "volume": 145420253, "typical_volume": 112292950.3, "trend": 6.839333, "fair_value": 4.682564, "relative_strength": -2.019015, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.596739, "energy": 14.166542, "activity_lines": [ 6.485333, 6.414909, 6.643429, 6.714366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }